Longchen Paper & Packaging Co (TPE:1909) Altman Z-Score: 0.74 (As of Jul. 01, 2026) — 28% Below Median


TPE:1909 Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Ltd TPE:1909
63 GF Score
Price NT$9.55
GF Value NT$12.32
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Altman Z-Score?

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co TPE:1909 +0.95% 63 Altman Z-Score is 0.74 as of Jul. 01, 2026, which is 28% below its 10-year median of 1.03. GuruFocus rates TPE:1909 with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of NT$12.32 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 282 Forest Products companies, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co ranks worse than 82.62% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.74 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co has a Altman Z-Score of 0.74, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TPE:1909' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.74   Med: 1.03   Max: 1.61
Current: 0.74

During the past 13 years, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.61. The lowest was 0.74. And the median was 1.03.


Longchen Paper & Packaging Co  (TPE:1909) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.29 1.03 0.92 0.86 0.74

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.86 0.76 0.81 0.73 0.74

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Altman Z-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Altman Z-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


TPE:1909
63GF Score
Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Ltd TPE:1909
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.1163+1.4*0.0182+3.3*0.0145+0.6*0.2547+1.0*0.6503
=0.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025:
Total Assets was NT$68,753 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$13,704 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$21,698 Mil.
Retained Earnings was NT$1,252 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 248.255 + -120.606 + -446.702 + -83.414 = NT$-402 Mil.
Interest Expense was -350.051 + -342.86 + -347.943 + -360.099 = NT$-1,401 Mil.
Revenue was 12031.272 + 11262.745 + 11190.818 + 10223.264 = NT$44,708 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was NT$12,333 Mil.
Total Liabilities was NT$48,427 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(13704.223 - 21698.245)/68753.224
=-0.1163

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1252.431/68753.224
=0.0182

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-402.467 - -1400.953)/68753.224
=0.0145

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=12332.743/48426.543
=0.2547

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=44708.099/68753.224
=0.6503

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co has a Altman Z-Score of 0.74 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 0.74 mean?
Longchen Paper & Packaging Co (TPE:1909) has a Altman Z-Score of 0.74 as of Jul. 01, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Longchen Paper & Packaging Co and its competitors. This is 28% below median its historical median of 1.03. Over the past decade, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.74 to 1.61. According to the industry distribution chart, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co ranks #233 out of 282 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 82.6%.
Is Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's current Altman Z-Score of 0.74 is 28% below median its 10-year median of 1.03. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.74 to a high of 1.61. The Forest Products industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.83. Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's value of 0.74 is 59.6% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co ranks #233 out of 282 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's Altman Z-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co ranks #233 out of 282 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Longchen Paper & Packaging Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.83. Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's value of 0.74 is 59.6% below this benchmark. Historically, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.74 to 1.61 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.03 vs. the industry median of 1.83, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Forest Products company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Forest Products companies is 1.83, based on 282 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's current Altman Z-Score of 0.74 is 59.6% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Longchen Paper & Packaging Co and its competitors. For the Forest Products industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.83 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's current Altman Z-Score is 0.74, which is 28% below median its own 10-year median of 1.03. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Longchen Paper & Packaging Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co (TPE:1909) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$12.32, compared to a current price of NT$9.55 — trading 22.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 0.74, which is 28% below median its 10-year median of 1.03 and 59.6% below the Forest Products industry median of 1.83. Longchen Paper & Packaging Co's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Longchen Paper & Packaging Co (TPE:1909), the current Altman Z-Score is 0.74 as of Jul. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Longchen Paper & Packaging Co (TPE:1909) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Longchen Paper & Packaging Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of NT$9.55 is trading 22.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of NT$12.32. GuruFocus considers Longchen Paper & Packaging Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TPE:1909:

  • Altman Z-Score: 0.74 (28% below median its 10-year median of 1.03)
  • GF Value™: NT$12.32 vs. price of NT$9.55 (22.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 59.6% below the Forest Products median (#233 of 282)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TPE:1909 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Business Description

Address No. 1-1, Guangxing Lane, Guangxing Village, Erlin Township, Zhanghua, TWN
Longchen Paper & Packaging Co Ltd is engaged in manufacturing, processing, and trading paper raw materials; manufacturing, printing, processing and trading of corrugated containers; and recycling/renewal of energy and resources, including turnkey design, trial-run and operation of cogeneration and incinerator systems. Its segments include Containerboard: manufacturing and sales of Containerboard; Corrugated container: manufacturing and sale of paper machines; Wastepaper: procurement and sale of wastepaper; and Others: public wastewater treatment and general administration in the Group. It derives majority of the revenue from Containerboard segment.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TPE:1909

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NT$9.55
Price
NT$12.32
GF Value