SYS Holdings Co (TSE:3988) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): 円1,270.60 (As of Aug. 25, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:3988 SYS Holdings Co Ltd TSE:3988
90 GF Score
Price 円554.00
GF Value 円693.82
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is SYS Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

SYS Holdings Co TSE:3988 -0.54% 90 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円1,270.60 as of Aug. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:3988 with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of 円693.82 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 278 Software companies, SYS Holdings Co ranks better than 82.37% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-25), SYS Holdings Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is 円1,270.60.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

SYS Holdings Co's Predictability Rank is 4-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for SYS Holdings Co is 56.40%.

The historical rank and industry rank for SYS Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3988' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.44   Med: 0.68   Max: 0.86
Current: 0.44

During the past 11 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of SYS Holdings Co was 0.86. The lowest was 0.44. And the median was 0.68.

TSE:3988's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked better than
82.37% of 278 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 0.77 vs TSE:3988: 0.44

SYS Holdings Co  (TSE:3988) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


SYS Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms


SYS Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for SYS Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

SYS Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

SYS Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23 Jul24 Jul25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 653.20

SYS Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 653.20 850.66 1,111.51 0.00

TSE:3988 vs IBM, ACN, FISV: Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Comparison

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, SYS Holdings Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SYS Holdings Co Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, SYS Holdings Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SYS Holdings Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.


TSE:3988
90GF Score
SYS Holdings Co Ltd TSE:3988
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

SYS Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 2.67%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 17.10%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> SYS Holdings Co's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 17.10%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 17.10%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = 円40.8411.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

SYS Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.171)/(1+0.09) = 1.0743119266055
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=40.8411*31.1108
=1,270.60

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (1270.6 - 554.00) / 1270.6
= 56.40 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of 円1,270.60 mean?
SYS Holdings Co (TSE:3988) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of 円1,270.60 as of Aug. 25, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on SYS Holdings Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, SYS Holdings Co ranks #49 out of 278 companies in the Software industry, placing it in the top 17.6%.
Is SYS Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) too high?
SYS Holdings Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円1,270.60. Based on the distribution chart, SYS Holdings Co ranks #49 out of 278 companies in the Software industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, SYS Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does SYS Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) compare to IBM and ACN?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, SYS Holdings Co ranks #49 out of 278 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based). This places SYS Holdings Co in the top 18% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.77. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for a Software company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) among Software companies is 0.77, based on 278 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on SYS Holdings Co and its competitors. For the Software industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.77 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. SYS Holdings Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円1,270.60. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is SYS Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, SYS Holdings Co (TSE:3988) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円693.82, compared to a current price of 円554.00 — trading 20.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円1,270.60. SYS Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 90/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For SYS Holdings Co (TSE:3988), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円1,270.60 as of Aug. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is SYS Holdings Co (TSE:3988) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, SYS Holdings Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円554.00 is trading 20.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円693.82. GuruFocus considers SYS Holdings Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:3988:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): 円1,270.60
  • GF Value™: 円693.82 vs. price of 円554.00 (20.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:3988 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


SYS Holdings Co Business Description

Address Higashi-ku 35, No. 16 No. 1, Aichi Prefecture, Fuji Building, 2nd floor, Nagoya, JPN, 461-0002
SYS Holdings Co Ltd operates in the information service business, which provides IT system development and IT solutions services. It offers manufacturing solutions, social information infrastructure solutions, and mobile solutions. It has a single segment of the comprehensive information service business.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:3988

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円554.00
Price
円693.82
GF Value