Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.
GMX Resources's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.
The historical rank and industry rank for GMX Resources's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:
FRA:HJ8A's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 0.695 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.
GMX Resources Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data
The historical data trend for GMX Resources's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Competitive Comparison of GMX Resources's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, GMX Resources's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
GMX Resources's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry
For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, GMX Resources's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where GMX Resources's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.
This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.
Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:
1. Discount Rate: d = 11% A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.41%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.
2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>
GMX Resources's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past
3 years was 0.00%,
which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%
3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10
4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%
5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10
6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = €-9.378. GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.
All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.
GMX Resources's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.
Be Aware
What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:
1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.
You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.
GMX Resources Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of GMX Resources's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
GMX Resources Inc. is an oil and gas company, which is engaged in the exploration, development and production of oil and natural gas from the Haynesville/Bossier Shale and Cotton Valley Sands in its core area, the Sabine Uplift of the Carthage, North Field of Harrison and Panola counties of East Texas. It also has properties located in Lea and Roosevelt counties, and New Mexico. During the first half of 2011, the company acquired all of the working interest and an average greater than 80% net revenue interest in approximately 35,000 undeveloped net acres of oil and gas leases located in Billings, Stark, McKenzie and Dunn Counties of North Dakota, and Richland, Sheridan and Wibaux Counties of Montana. The company holds Williston Basin leases in approximately 150 1,280-acre units and expects to be the operator in approximately 31 of those units, providing a minimum of 172 operated locations. At the same time it acquired all of the working interest and an 80% net revenue interest in approximately 40,000 undeveloped net acres of oil and gas leases located in Platte, Goshen and Laramie Counties of Wyoming. During 2011, it acquired approximately 35,000 net acres in the Bakken/Three Forks oil resource play, which provides it with over 400 potential horizontal locations. The company intends to continue its multi-year drilling program in 2012, expanding to a multi-rig program based on available liquidity and capital resources. It has three subsidiaries: Diamond Blue Drilling Co. (Diamond Blue), which previously owned three drilling rigs, Endeavor Pipeline Inc. (Endeavor Pipeline), which operates its water supply and salt water disposal systems in its East Texas area, and Endeavor Gathering, LLC (Endeavor Gathering), which owns the natural gas gathering system and related equipment operated by Endeavor Pipeline. Kinder Morgan Endeavor LLC (KME) owns 40% membership interest in Endeavor Gathering. During 2011 and the first two months of 2012, the company successfully drilled and completed five Bakken Petroleum System wells, all in North Dakota. The Wock 21-2-1H, Frank 31-4-1H and the Marsh 21-16 TFH wells are located in Stark County, while the Taboo 1-25-36H and the Evoniuk 21-2-1H are located in McKenzie and Billings County, North Dakota.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
Portfolio Contest
FRA:HJ8A has been successfully added to your 