What is GMX Resources Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. GMX Resources's forward rate of return for was -388.27%.
The historical rank and industry rank for GMX Resources's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
FRA:HJ8A's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 12.87 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
GMX Resources Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
The historical data trend for GMX Resources's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
GMX Resources Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
Competitive Comparison of GMX Resources's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, GMX Resources's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
GMX Resources's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry
For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, GMX Resources's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where GMX Resources's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
GMX Resources Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
GMX Resources's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2012 is
Forward Rate of Return
=
Normalized Free Cash Flow
/
Price
+
5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=
-58.47942857
/
0
+
0.2
=
0 %
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
GMX Resources (FRA:HJ8A) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
GMX Resources Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of GMX Resources's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
GMX Resources Inc. is an oil and gas company, which is engaged in the exploration, development and production of oil and natural gas from the Haynesville/Bossier Shale and Cotton Valley Sands in its core area, the Sabine Uplift of the Carthage, North Field of Harrison and Panola counties of East Texas. It also has properties located in Lea and Roosevelt counties, and New Mexico. During the first half of 2011, the company acquired all of the working interest and an average greater than 80% net revenue interest in approximately 35,000 undeveloped net acres of oil and gas leases located in Billings, Stark, McKenzie and Dunn Counties of North Dakota, and Richland, Sheridan and Wibaux Counties of Montana. The company holds Williston Basin leases in approximately 150 1,280-acre units and expects to be the operator in approximately 31 of those units, providing a minimum of 172 operated locations. At the same time it acquired all of the working interest and an 80% net revenue interest in approximately 40,000 undeveloped net acres of oil and gas leases located in Platte, Goshen and Laramie Counties of Wyoming. During 2011, it acquired approximately 35,000 net acres in the Bakken/Three Forks oil resource play, which provides it with over 400 potential horizontal locations. The company intends to continue its multi-year drilling program in 2012, expanding to a multi-rig program based on available liquidity and capital resources. It has three subsidiaries: Diamond Blue Drilling Co. (Diamond Blue), which previously owned three drilling rigs, Endeavor Pipeline Inc. (Endeavor Pipeline), which operates its water supply and salt water disposal systems in its East Texas area, and Endeavor Gathering, LLC (Endeavor Gathering), which owns the natural gas gathering system and related equipment operated by Endeavor Pipeline. Kinder Morgan Endeavor LLC (KME) owns 40% membership interest in Endeavor Gathering. During 2011 and the first two months of 2012, the company successfully drilled and completed five Bakken Petroleum System wells, all in North Dakota. The Wock 21-2-1H, Frank 31-4-1H and the Marsh 21-16 TFH wells are located in Stark County, while the Taboo 1-25-36H and the Evoniuk 21-2-1H are located in McKenzie and Billings County, North Dakota.
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