Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.
Monarch Financial Holdings's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.
The historical rank and industry rank for Monarch Financial Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:
MNRK's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Banks industry.
Industry Median: 0.56 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.
Monarch Financial Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data
The historical data trend for Monarch Financial Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Monarch Financial Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Monarch Financial Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Banks Industry
For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Monarch Financial Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Monarch Financial Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.
This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.
Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:
1. Discount Rate: d = 11% A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.
2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>
Monarch Financial Holdings's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past
3 years was 0.00%,
which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%
3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10
4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%
5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10
6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $1.260. GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.
All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.
Be Aware
What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:
1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.
You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.
Monarch Financial Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Monarch Financial Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Monarch Financial Holdings (Monarch Financial Holdings) Business Description
Monarch Financial Holdings Inc was created on June 1, 2006 through a reorganization plan, under the laws of the Commonwealth of Virginia, in which Monarch Bank became its wholly-owned subsidiary. Monarch Bank was incorporated on May 1, 1998 and opened for business on April 14, 1999 as a Virginia-chartered bank and a member of the Federal Reserve banking system. The Company is engaged in business and consumer banking, investment and insurance sales, and mortgage origination and brokerage. It conducts its operations through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Monarch Bank, and its two wholly-owned subsidiaries, Monarch Investment, LLC and Monarch Capital, LLC. It also does business in some markets as OBX Bank, Monarch Bank Private Wealth, Monarch Mortgage and under various names via joint ventures with other partners. The Company operates through two segments that offer different products and services; community banking ("banking") and retail mortgage banking services ("mortgage banking"). Banking involves making loans to and generating deposits from individuals and businesses. Mortgage banking originates residential mortgage loans and subsequently sells them to investors. It serves the needs of local businesses, professionals, corporate executives and individuals in the Hampton Roads South Hampton Roads area of Southeastern Virginia and the Outer Banks region of Northeastern North Carolina. It operate ten banking offices, four commercial lending office and eleven residential mortgage offices in the cities of Chesapeake, Norfolk, Newport News, Richmond, Williamsburg and Virginia Beach, Virginia. It has two full-service banking offices operating under the name 'OBX Bank' and a residential mortgage office operating under the name of 'OBX Bank Mortgage' in the Outer Banks region of Northeastern North Carolina in the towns of Kitty Hawk and Nags Head. It also operates twenty-nine additional residential mortgage offices outside of its main market areas. The Company's business banking group supports its business and commercial clients and offers both secured and unsecured commercial loans for working capital (including inventory and receivables), business expansion (including acquisition of real estate and improvements) and the purchase of equipment and machinery, as well as loans secured by commercial real estate. This Company also originates business deposits and related services. The Company's Real Estate Finance Group supports the delivery of residential and commercial real estate construction, acquisition and development loans, with the majority of its focus in the 1-4 family residential development markets of Hampton Roads and Northeastern North Carolina. This group supports this type of banking in all of its markets. The Commercial Real Estate Finance Group specializing in underwriting commercial real estate loans, which are either financed for its balance sheet or brokered to other investors. Non-owner occupied income producing real est
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