ORENF (Origin Enterprises) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based): $7.80 (As of Aug. 17, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ORENF Origin Enterprises PLC ORENF
72 GF Score
Price $4.86
GF Value $3.78
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Origin Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

Origin Enterprises ORENF 72 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $7.80 as of Aug. 17, 2026. GuruFocus rates ORENF with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.78 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 36 Agriculture companies, Origin Enterprises ranks worse than 2777775% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-17), Origin Enterprises's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $7.80.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Origin Enterprises's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Origin Enterprises is 37.69%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Origin Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

ORENF's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Agriculture industry.
Industry Median: 0.945
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Origin Enterprises  (OTCPK:ORENF) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Origin Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms


Origin Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Origin Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Origin Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Origin Enterprises Annual Data
Trend Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23 Jul24 Jul25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Origin Enterprises Semi-Annual Data
Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24 Jul24 Jan25 Jul25 Jan26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

ORENF vs CTVA, CF, MOS: Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Origin Enterprises's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Origin Enterprises Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) vs Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Origin Enterprises's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Origin Enterprises's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.


ORENF
72GF Score
Origin Enterprises PLC ORENF
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Origin Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 3.13%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Origin Enterprises's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 0.50%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $0.625.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Origin Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.1) = 0.95454545454545
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.1) = 0.94545454545455

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.625*12.485
=7.80

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(7.8-4.86)/7.8
=37.69 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $7.80 mean?
Origin Enterprises (ORENF) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $7.80 as of Aug. 17, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on Origin Enterprises and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Origin Enterprises ranks #999999 out of 36 companies in the Agriculture industry.
Is Origin Enterprises' Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) too high?
Origin Enterprises' current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $7.80. The Agriculture industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.95. Origin Enterprises' value of $7.80 is 725.4% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Origin Enterprises ranks #999999 out of 36 companies in the Agriculture industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Origin Enterprises has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Origin Enterprises' Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) compare to CTVA and CF?
According to the Agriculture industry distribution chart, Origin Enterprises ranks #999999 out of 36 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based). This places Origin Enterprises in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.95. Origin Enterprises' value of $7.80 is 725.4% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for an Agriculture company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) among Agriculture companies is 0.95, based on 36 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Origin Enterprises's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $7.80 is 725.4% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on Origin Enterprises and its competitors. For the Agriculture industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.95 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Origin Enterprises's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $7.80. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Origin Enterprises stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Origin Enterprises (ORENF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.78, compared to a current price of $4.86 — trading 28.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $7.80 and 725.4% above the Agriculture industry median of 0.95. Origin Enterprises' overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Origin Enterprises (ORENF), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $7.80 as of Aug. 17, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Origin Enterprises (ORENF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Origin Enterprises stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $4.86 is trading 28.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $3.78. GuruFocus considers Origin Enterprises to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ORENF:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based): $7.80
  • GF Value™: $3.78 vs. price of $4.86 (28.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 725.4% above the Agriculture median (#999999 of 36)

No single metric tells the full story. See the ORENF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Origin Enterprises Business Description

Address 4-6 Riverwalk, 24, Citywest Business Campus, Dublin, IRL, D24 DCW0
Origin Enterprises PLC offers comprehensive solutions for all land types, from optimizing crop fields to managing ecological landscapes and green spaces for sports and wellbeing. Its main activities include providing value-added services, technologies, and inputs to primary food producers. Operations in manufacturing, R&D, trading, distribution, and digital services span Ireland, the UK, Brazil, Poland, and Romania. The business is organized into two segments: Agriculture, serving growers and upstream firms across Ireland, the UK, Continental Europe, and Latin America; and Living Landscapes, delivering products and services for sports and environmental markets in Ireland and the UK. The majority of revenue is generated from Agriculture.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ORENF

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$4.86
Price
$3.78
GF Value