ORENF (Origin Enterprises) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 26.34% (As of Jul. 2025) — 177% Above Median

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ORENF Origin Enterprises PLC ORENF
76 GF Score
Price $4.86
GF Value $3.78
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Origin Enterprises Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Origin Enterprises ORENF 76 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 26.34% as of Jul. 2025, which is 177% above its 10-year median of 9.52. GuruFocus rates ORENF with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.78 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 201 Agriculture companies, Origin Enterprises ranks better than 92.04% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Origin Enterprises's forward rate of return for was 26.34%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Origin Enterprises's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ORENF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.11   Med: 9.52   Max: 28.28
Current: 24.48

During the past 13 years, Origin Enterprises's highest Forward Rate of Return was 28.28. The lowest was 0.11. And the median was 9.52.

ORENF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
92.04% of 201 companies
in the Agriculture industry
Industry Median: 6.53 vs ORENF: 24.48

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Origin Enterprises  (OTCPK:ORENF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Origin Enterprises Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Origin Enterprises Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Origin Enterprises's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Origin Enterprises Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Origin Enterprises Annual Data
Trend Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23 Jul24 Jul25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.75 20.10 26.13 24.26 26.34

Origin Enterprises Semi-Annual Data
Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24 Jul24 Jan25 Jul25 Jan26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 24.26 0.00 26.34 0.00

ORENF vs CTVA, CF, MOS: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Origin Enterprises's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Origin Enterprises Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Origin Enterprises's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Origin Enterprises's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


ORENF
76GF Score
Origin Enterprises PLC ORENF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Origin Enterprises Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Origin Enterprises's Forward Rate of Return of Jul. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.4405/4.4+0.1535
=25.36 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 26.34% mean?
Origin Enterprises (ORENF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 26.34% as of Jul. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Origin Enterprises and its competitors. This is 177% above median its historical median of 9.52. Over the past decade, Origin Enterprises' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 0.11 to 28.28. According to the industry distribution chart, Origin Enterprises ranks #16 out of 201 companies in the Agriculture industry, placing it in the top 8%.
Is Origin Enterprises' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Origin Enterprises' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 26.34% is 177% above median its 10-year median of 9.52. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.11 to a high of 28.28. The Agriculture industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.53. Origin Enterprises' value of 26.34% is 303.4% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Origin Enterprises ranks #16 out of 201 companies in the Agriculture industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Origin Enterprises has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Origin Enterprises' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to CTVA and CF?
According to the Agriculture industry distribution chart, Origin Enterprises ranks #16 out of 201 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Origin Enterprises in the top 8% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.53. Origin Enterprises' value of 26.34% is 303.4% above this benchmark. Historically, Origin Enterprises' own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 0.11 to 28.28 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 9.52 vs. the industry median of 6.53, Origin Enterprises has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for an Agriculture company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Agriculture companies is 6.53, based on 201 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Origin Enterprises's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 26.34% is 303.4% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Origin Enterprises and its competitors. For the Agriculture industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.53 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Origin Enterprises's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 26.34%, which is 177% above median its own 10-year median of 9.52. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Origin Enterprises stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Origin Enterprises (ORENF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.78, compared to a current price of $4.86 — trading 28.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 26.34%, which is 177% above median its 10-year median of 9.52 and 303.4% above the Agriculture industry median of 6.53. Origin Enterprises' overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Origin Enterprises (ORENF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 26.34% as of Jul. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Origin Enterprises (ORENF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Origin Enterprises stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $4.86 is trading 28.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $3.78. GuruFocus considers Origin Enterprises to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ORENF:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 26.34% (177% above median its 10-year median of 9.52)
  • GF Value™: $3.78 vs. price of $4.86 (28.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 303.4% above the Agriculture median (#16 of 201)

No single metric tells the full story. See the ORENF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Origin Enterprises Business Description

Address 4-6 Riverwalk, 24, Citywest Business Campus, Dublin, IRL, D24 DCW0
Origin Enterprises PLC offers comprehensive solutions for all land types, from optimizing crop fields to managing ecological landscapes and green spaces for sports and wellbeing. Its main activities include providing value-added services, technologies, and inputs to primary food producers. Operations in manufacturing, R&D, trading, distribution, and digital services span Ireland, the UK, Brazil, Poland, and Romania. The business is organized into two segments: Agriculture, serving growers and upstream firms across Ireland, the UK, Continental Europe, and Latin America; and Living Landscapes, delivering products and services for sports and environmental markets in Ireland and the UK. The majority of revenue is generated from Agriculture.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ORENF

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$4.86
Price
$3.78
GF Value