PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk (ISX:STRK) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): Rp-14.10 (As of Sep. 10, 2026)

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ISX:STRK PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk ISX:STRK
53 GF Score
Price Rp64.00
GF Value Rp68.82
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk ISX:STRK -1.54% 53 Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is Rp-14.10 as of Sep. 10, 2026. GuruFocus rates ISX:STRK with a GF Score™ of 53/100 and a GF Value™ of Rp68.82 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 27 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk ranks worse than 3703700% on this metric.

As of today (2026-09-10), PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is Rp-14.10.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk is N/A.

The industry rank for PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:STRK's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry.
Industry Median: 0.88
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk  (ISX:STRK) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms


PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk Quarterly Data
Dec20 Dec21 Mar22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

ISX:STRK vs STZ, TAP: Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Comparison

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.


ISX:STRK
53GF Score
PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk ISX:STRK
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.83%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was -119.40%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = Rp-1.222.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-1.222*11.5406
=-14.10

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-14.1-64.00)/-14.1
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of Rp-14.10 mean?
PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk (ISX:STRK) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of Rp-14.10 as of Sep. 10, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk ranks #999999 out of 27 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry.
Is PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) too high?
PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is Rp-14.10. Based on the distribution chart, PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk ranks #999999 out of 27 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk has a GF Score™ of 53/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) compare to STZ and TAP?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk ranks #999999 out of 27 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based). This places PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.88. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) among Beverages - Alcoholic companies is 0.88, based on 27 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk and its competitors. For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.88 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is Rp-14.10. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk (ISX:STRK) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is Rp68.82, compared to a current price of Rp64.00 — trading 7% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is Rp-14.10. PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 53/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk (ISX:STRK), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is Rp-14.10 as of Sep. 10, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk (ISX:STRK) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of Rp64.00 is trading 7% below its estimated GF Value™ of Rp68.82. GuruFocus considers PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for ISX:STRK:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): Rp-14.10
  • GF Value™: Rp68.82 vs. price of Rp64.00 (7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 53/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ISX:STRK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk Business Description

Address Jl. Tukad Banyu Poh 110X, Selatan, Sesetan, Denpasar, IDN, 80223
PT Lovina Beach Brewery Tbk producer and distributor of local alcoholic beverages in Indonesia. Its brands comprise Stark Craft Beer, Kaja, Nord, Arak Dewan, Arak Legong, and Wija. The Company distributes its products to various regions in Bali and Jakarta through a direct sales approach to hotels, restaurants, bars, and end consumers, as well as through a network of sub-distributors. For areas outside Bali and Jakarta, distribution is carried out through partnerships with sub-distributors who have an extensive network in various regions.
53GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ISX:STRK

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

Rp64.00
Price
Rp68.82
GF Value