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Alcatel-Lucent (Alcatel-Lucent) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $0.00 (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is Alcatel-Lucent Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-22), Alcatel-Lucent's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.00. The stock price of Alcatel-Lucent is $2.85. Therefore, Alcatel-Lucent's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alcatel-Lucent's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ALALF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Hardware industry.
Industry Median: 1.46
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Alcatel-Lucent Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alcatel-Lucent's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alcatel-Lucent Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Alcatel-Lucent Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.78 -3.30 -2.52 -2.11 -0.41

Alcatel-Lucent Quarterly Data
Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Jun16
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.42 -1.32 -1.74 -0.41 -1.12

Competitive Comparison of Alcatel-Lucent's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Alcatel-Lucent's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alcatel-Lucent's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Alcatel-Lucent's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcatel-Lucent's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Alcatel-Lucent Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Alcatel-Lucent's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-1,176.92.

Alcatel-Lucent's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun16)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-1176.924+7183.146*0.8)/3563.959
=-1.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alcatel-Lucent  (OTCPK:ALALF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Alcatel-Lucent's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.85/-1.531502882533
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alcatel-Lucent Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alcatel-Lucent's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Alcatel-Lucent (Alcatel-Lucent) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Alcatel-Lucent SA was incorporated on June 18, 1898. The Company is engaged in designing, manufacturing, operations and sales of equipment, material and software related to domestic, industrial, civil, military or other applications concerning electricity, telecommunications, computers, electronics, aerospace industry, nuclear energy, metallurgy, and, in general, of all the means of production or transmission of energy or communication. The Company's core Networking segment includes three business divisions: IP Routing, IP Transport and IP Platforms. The IP ROUTING focus is on the intelligent IP router market and emerging Software Defined Networking (SDN) markets and related professional services. In IP TRANSPORT segment company designs, manufactures and markets optical networking equipment to transport information over fiber optic connections over long distances on land or under sea, as well as for short distances in metropolitan and regional areas. The portfolio also includes related professional services and microwave wireless transmission equipment. In IP PLATFORMS, the Company offers software and services to service providers that allow them to meet the market evolution needs of mobile and fixed networks. The Company's access segment includes four business divisions: WIRELESS are committed to a wireless access portfolio that is suited to the operators that are moving to 4G/LTE quickly and decisively. FIXED ACCESS IP-based fixed access products and related professional services provides support for both DSL and fiber, allowing service providers to extend Ultra-Broadband access to the customer's premise regardless of technology and to seamlessly combine copper and fiber access technologies and FTTx deployment models to achieve the fastest return-on-investment and time-to-market. In LICENSING the Intellectual Property Business Group works to monetize the patent portfolio through licensing and patent sales while also maintaining and prosecuting patents. The managed services portfolio includes Build-Operate-Manage-Transfer (BOMT) Solutions, Operations Transformation Solutions, and Network Operations Services. These services can be delivered across a wide array of network technologies including Network Access (FTTx), Next generation wireless (LTE, Small Cells, 4G), and IP Networks. The Company's Other segment includes Enterprise and Government businesses to provide end-to-end products, solutions and services for small, medium, large and extra-large companies to improve conversations and collaboration across employees, customers and partners. The Company sells all of its products and services to the world's telecommunications service providers through its direct sales force. The Company's competitors include Avaya, Cisco Systems, Ericsson, Fujitsu, Huawei, Nokia Solutions and Networks (NSN), Samsung, Adtran, Calix, Ciena, Juniper, Ericsson and Huawei.

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