GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Alcatel-Lucent SA (OTCPK:ALALF) » Definitions » Altman Z2-Score

Alcatel-Lucent (Alcatel-Lucent) Altman Z2-Score : 0.97 (As of May. 23, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2009. Start your Free Trial

What is Alcatel-Lucent Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Alcatel-Lucent has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.97, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alcatel-Lucent's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Alcatel-Lucent Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alcatel-Lucent's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alcatel-Lucent Altman Z2-Score Chart

Alcatel-Lucent Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Alcatel-Lucent Quarterly Data
Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Jun16
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Alcatel-Lucent's Altman Z2-Score

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Alcatel-Lucent's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alcatel-Lucent's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Alcatel-Lucent's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcatel-Lucent's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Alcatel-Lucent Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Alcatel-Lucent's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.1038+3.26*0.0569+6.72*-0.047+1.05*0.4005
=0.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2016:
Total Assets was $26,067 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $11,124 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $8,418 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $1,484 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -1842.697 + 638.344 + -217.733 + -74.074 = $-1,496 Mil.
Interest Expense was 35.955 + -82.789 + -95.398 + -127.946 = $-270 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $17,936 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(11123.596 - 8417.978)/26067.416
=0.1038

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1484.27/26067.416
=0.0569

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-1496.16 - -270.178)/26067.416
=-0.047

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(7183.146 - 0)/17935.955
=0.4005

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Alcatel-Lucent has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.97 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Alcatel-Lucent  (OTCPK:ALALF) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Alcatel-Lucent Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alcatel-Lucent's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Alcatel-Lucent (Alcatel-Lucent) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Alcatel-Lucent SA was incorporated on June 18, 1898. The Company is engaged in designing, manufacturing, operations and sales of equipment, material and software related to domestic, industrial, civil, military or other applications concerning electricity, telecommunications, computers, electronics, aerospace industry, nuclear energy, metallurgy, and, in general, of all the means of production or transmission of energy or communication. The Company's core Networking segment includes three business divisions: IP Routing, IP Transport and IP Platforms. The IP ROUTING focus is on the intelligent IP router market and emerging Software Defined Networking (SDN) markets and related professional services. In IP TRANSPORT segment company designs, manufactures and markets optical networking equipment to transport information over fiber optic connections over long distances on land or under sea, as well as for short distances in metropolitan and regional areas. The portfolio also includes related professional services and microwave wireless transmission equipment. In IP PLATFORMS, the Company offers software and services to service providers that allow them to meet the market evolution needs of mobile and fixed networks. The Company's access segment includes four business divisions: WIRELESS are committed to a wireless access portfolio that is suited to the operators that are moving to 4G/LTE quickly and decisively. FIXED ACCESS IP-based fixed access products and related professional services provides support for both DSL and fiber, allowing service providers to extend Ultra-Broadband access to the customer's premise regardless of technology and to seamlessly combine copper and fiber access technologies and FTTx deployment models to achieve the fastest return-on-investment and time-to-market. In LICENSING the Intellectual Property Business Group works to monetize the patent portfolio through licensing and patent sales while also maintaining and prosecuting patents. The managed services portfolio includes Build-Operate-Manage-Transfer (BOMT) Solutions, Operations Transformation Solutions, and Network Operations Services. These services can be delivered across a wide array of network technologies including Network Access (FTTx), Next generation wireless (LTE, Small Cells, 4G), and IP Networks. The Company's Other segment includes Enterprise and Government businesses to provide end-to-end products, solutions and services for small, medium, large and extra-large companies to improve conversations and collaboration across employees, customers and partners. The Company sells all of its products and services to the world's telecommunications service providers through its direct sales force. The Company's competitors include Avaya, Cisco Systems, Ericsson, Fujitsu, Huawei, Nokia Solutions and Networks (NSN), Samsung, Adtran, Calix, Ciena, Juniper, Ericsson and Huawei.

Alcatel-Lucent (Alcatel-Lucent) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Alcatel-Lucent is a Good Turnaround Play

By insight solutions insight solutions 11-17-2014

Alcatel-Lucent Is a Turnaround Worth Buying

By Vinay Singh Vinay Singh 06-30-2014

3 Networking Companies for Your Portfolio

By jaggom jaggom 04-28-2014

Alcatel-Lucent: Strategic Moves Will Result in Growth

By RHPanalysts RHPanalysts 04-27-2015

Why You Should Buy Alcatel-Lucent's Turnaround

By sandyinvestment sandyinvestment 07-16-2014

Can Alcatel-Lucent Sustain Its Turnaround in the Long Run?

By starskyinvestments starskyinvestments 11-06-2014

Kyle Bass Buys Alcatel, Monster, Yahoo, Tellabs, Sells MGIC

By GuruFocus GuruFocus 05-15-2012

Altium Stock Appears To Be Fairly Valued

By GF Value GF Value 06-08-2021

Alcatel-Lucent: Buy the Drop

By Juhi Kulkarni Juhi Kulkarni 09-25-2014

This Telecom Equipment Maker Is Set to Get Better

By Rustic Nomad Rustic Nomad 06-06-2014