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Alps Alpine CoAPELY 80 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $34.56 as of Aug. 22, 2026, which is 4447% above its 10-year median of 0.76. GuruFocus rates APELY with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of $18.34 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,700 Hardware companies, Alps Alpine Co ranks better than 76.94% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-08-22), Alps Alpine Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $34.56. The stock price of Alps Alpine Co is $26.919. Therefore, Alps Alpine Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.
The historical rank and industry rank for Alps Alpine Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
APELY'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.48 Med: 0.76 Max: 1.84
Current: 0.78
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Alps Alpine Co was 1.84. The lowest was 0.48. And the median was 0.76.
APELY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 76.94% of 1700
companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 1.705
vs APELY: 0.78
Alps Alpine Co (OTCPK:APELY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Alps Alpine Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
26.919
/
36.875694990876
=
0.73
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Alps Alpine Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Alps Alpine Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Alps Alpine Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Alps Alpine Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart
APELY vs APH, GLW, TEL: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Electronic Components subindustry, Alps Alpine Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Alps Alpine Co Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Hardware Industry
For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Alps Alpine Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Alps Alpine Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Alps Alpine Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $34.56 mean?
Alps Alpine Co (APELY) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $34.56 as of Aug. 22, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Alps Alpine Co and its competitors. This is 4447% above median its historical median of 0.76. Over the past decade, Alps Alpine Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.48 to 1.84. According to the industry distribution chart, Alps Alpine Co ranks #392 out of 1700 companies in the Hardware industry, placing it in the top 23.1%.
Is Alps Alpine Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Alps Alpine Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $34.56 is 4447% above median its 10-year median of 0.76. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.48 to a high of 1.84. The Hardware industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.71. Alps Alpine Co's value of $34.56 is 1927% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Alps Alpine Co ranks #392 out of 1700 companies in the Hardware industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Alps Alpine Co has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alps Alpine Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to APH and GLW?
According to the Hardware industry distribution chart, Alps Alpine Co ranks #392 out of 1700 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Alps Alpine Co in the top 23% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.71. Alps Alpine Co's value of $34.56 is 1927% above this benchmark. Historically, Alps Alpine Co's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.48 to 1.84 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.76 vs. the industry median of 1.71, Alps Alpine Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Hardware company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Hardware companies is 1.71, based on 1,700 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Alps Alpine Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $34.56 is 1927% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Alps Alpine Co and its competitors. For the Hardware industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.71 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Alps Alpine Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $34.56, which is 4447% above median its own 10-year median of 0.76. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alps Alpine Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alps Alpine Co (APELY) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $18.34, compared to a current price of $26.92 — trading 46.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $34.56, which is 4447% above median its 10-year median of 0.76 and 1927% above the Hardware industry median of 1.71. Alps Alpine Co's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alps Alpine Co (APELY), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $34.56 as of Aug. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Alps Alpine Co (APELY) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alps Alpine Co stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $26.92 is trading 46.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $18.34.
GuruFocus considers Alps Alpine Co to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for APELY:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $34.56 (4447% above median its 10-year median of 0.76)
GF Value™: $18.34 vs. price of $26.92 (46.8% above fair value)
Industry Position: 1927% above the Hardware median (#392 of 1700)
No single metric tells the full story. See the APELY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Alps Alpine Co Ltd is a Japan-based company mainly engaged in businesses related to the components, sensors and communications, and modules and systems businesses. The company operates through three segments. The Component segment manufactures and sells electronic components such as switches, actuators, and haptics. The Module/System segment provides automotive modules, infotainment systems, displays, and related services. The Sensor Communication segment handles sensors and communication devices. The Others segment includes system development, office services, screws, as well as finance and leasing businesses. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Module/System business segment.
80GF Score
Get the complete analysis for APELY
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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