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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2025-01-19), Aspen Aerogels's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-6.77. The stock price of Aspen Aerogels is $12.72. Therefore, Aspen Aerogels's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.
The historical rank and industry rank for Aspen Aerogels's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Aspen Aerogels was 100.02. The lowest was 32.52. And the median was 66.27.
The historical data trend for Aspen Aerogels's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Aspen Aerogels Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -2.11 | -2.15 | -0.72 | -3.45 | -6.43 |
Aspen Aerogels Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | Jun24 | Sep24 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -6.72 | -6.43 | -6.78 | -6.52 | -6.77 |
For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Aspen Aerogels's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Aspen Aerogels's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Aspen Aerogels's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Aspen Aerogels's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-96.85.
Aspen Aerogels's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Sep24) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (9.5203515959648 | * | -96.85456 | + | 507.65 | * | 0.8) | / | 76.261 | |
= | -6.77 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Aspen Aerogels (NYSE:ASPN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Aspen Aerogels's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 12.72 | / | -6.7658365989493 | |
= |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Aspen Aerogels's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Donald R Young | director, officer: President and CEO | C/O ASPEN AEROGELS, INC., 30 FORBES ROAD, BUILDING B, NORTHBOROUGH MA 01532 |
Ricardo C. Rodriguez | officer: SVP, CFO & Treasurer | C/O ASPEN AEROGELS, INC., 30 FORBES ROAD, BUILDING B, NORTHBOROUGH MA 01532 |
Kathleen Kool | director | 8500 SW CREEKSIDE PLACE, BEAVERTON OR 97008 |
Wood River Capital, Llc | 10 percent owner | 4111 E. 37TH STREET N, WICHITA KS 67220 |
Keith L Schilling | officer: Sr. Vice President, Technology | 24955 INTERSTATE 45 NORTH, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380 |
Gregg Landes | officer: VP, Innovation & Strategic Dev | C/O ASPEN AEROGELS, INC., 30 FORBES ROAD, BUILDING B, NORTHBOROUGH MA 01532 |
Whitaker Corby C | officer: SVP, Sales and Marketing | C/O ASPEN AEROGELS, INC., 30 FORBES ROAD, BUILDING B, NORTHBOROUGH MA 01532 |
Santhosh P Daniel | officer: Chief Accounting Officer | C/O SYMBOTIC INC., 200 RESEARCH DRIVE, WILMINGTON MA 01887 |
Steven R Mitchell | director | C/O ASPEN AEROGELS, INC., 30 FORBES ROAD, BUILDING B, NORTHBOROUGH MA 01532 |
Stephanie Pittman | officer: Chief Human Resources Officer | C/O ASPEN AEROGELS, INC., 30 FORBES RD., BUILDING B, NORTHBOROUGH MA 01532 |
Mark L Noetzel | director | 1000 ABERNATHY ROAD N.E., SUITE 1200, ATLANTA GA 30328 |
James E Sweetnam | director | DANA HOLDING CORPORATION, 3939 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, MAUMEE OH 43537 |
Virginia Johnson | officer: CLO, GC and Secretary | 30 FORBES ROAD, BUILDING B, NORTHBOROUGH MA 01532 |
Koch Industries Inc | 10 percent owner | 4111 EAST 37TH STREET NORTH, WICHITA KS 67220 |
Robert M. Gervis | director | 1000 ABERNATHY ROAD N.E., SUITE 1200, ATLANTA GA 30328 |
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