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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Warning Sign:
Beneish M-Score -1.45 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.
The historical rank and industry rank for Aspen Aerogels's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aspen Aerogels was 0.95. The lowest was -9.55. And the median was -3.03.
The historical data trend for Aspen Aerogels's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Aspen Aerogels Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -3.09 | -3.33 | 0.95 | -0.08 | -2.84 |
Aspen Aerogels Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | Jun24 | Sep24 | |
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -2.43 | -2.84 | -2.14 | -1.44 | -1.45 |
For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Aspen Aerogels's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Aspen Aerogels's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Aspen Aerogels's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Aspen Aerogels for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 1.0954 | + | 0.528 * 0.4866 | + | 0.404 * 1.5722 | + | 0.892 * 1.9328 | + | 0.115 * 0.7286 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 0.6285 | + | 4.679 * 0.03143 | - | 0.327 * 1.0884 | |||||||
= | -1.45 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Sep24) TTM: | Last Year (Sep23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $115.2 Mil. Revenue was 117.34 + 117.77 + 94.501 + 84.219 = $413.8 Mil. Gross Profit was 49.043 + 51.578 + 35.143 + 29.618 = $165.4 Mil. Total Current Assets was $305.9 Mil. Total Assets was $782.6 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $471.9 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $21.7 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $103.8 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $104.3 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $170.6 Mil. Net Income was -12.97 + 16.818 + -1.835 + -0.519 = $1.5 Mil. Non Operating Income was -27.487 + 0 + -2.702 + 0 = $-30.2 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 20.771 + 6.843 + -17.749 + -2.779 = $7.1 Mil. |
Total Receivables was $54.4 Mil. Revenue was 60.755 + 48.158 + 45.586 + 59.611 = $214.1 Mil. Gross Profit was 13.81 + 8.407 + 5.086 + 14.334 = $41.6 Mil. Total Current Assets was $200.4 Mil. Total Assets was $605.1 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $402.4 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $13.3 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $85.4 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $61.3 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $134.1 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (115.199 / 413.83) | / | (54.413 / 214.11) | |
= | 0.278373 | / | 0.254136 | |
= | 1.0954 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (41.637 / 214.11) | / | (165.382 / 413.83) | |
= | 0.194465 | / | 0.399638 | |
= | 0.4866 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (305.856 + 471.942) / 782.587) | / | (1 - (200.365 + 402.426) / 605.146) | |
= | 0.006119 | / | 0.003892 | |
= | 1.5722 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 413.83 | / | 214.11 | |
= | 1.9328 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (13.287 / (13.287 + 402.426)) | / | (21.654 / (21.654 + 471.942)) | |
= | 0.031962 | / | 0.04387 | |
= | 0.7286 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (103.755 / 413.83) | / | (85.411 / 214.11) | |
= | 0.250719 | / | 0.398912 | |
= | 0.6285 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((170.637 + 104.3) / 782.587) | / | ((134.075 + 61.258) / 605.146) | |
= | 0.351318 | / | 0.322787 | |
= | 1.0884 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (1.494 - -30.189 | - | 7.086) | / | 782.587 | |
= | 0.03143 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Aspen Aerogels has a M-score of -1.45 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Aspen Aerogels's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Donald R Young | director, officer: President and CEO | C/O ASPEN AEROGELS, INC., 30 FORBES ROAD, BUILDING B, NORTHBOROUGH MA 01532 |
Ricardo C. Rodriguez | officer: SVP, CFO & Treasurer | C/O ASPEN AEROGELS, INC., 30 FORBES ROAD, BUILDING B, NORTHBOROUGH MA 01532 |
Kathleen Kool | director | 8500 SW CREEKSIDE PLACE, BEAVERTON OR 97008 |
Wood River Capital, Llc | 10 percent owner | 4111 E. 37TH STREET N, WICHITA KS 67220 |
Keith L Schilling | officer: Sr. Vice President, Technology | 24955 INTERSTATE 45 NORTH, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380 |
Gregg Landes | officer: VP, Innovation & Strategic Dev | C/O ASPEN AEROGELS, INC., 30 FORBES ROAD, BUILDING B, NORTHBOROUGH MA 01532 |
Whitaker Corby C | officer: SVP, Sales and Marketing | C/O ASPEN AEROGELS, INC., 30 FORBES ROAD, BUILDING B, NORTHBOROUGH MA 01532 |
Santhosh P Daniel | officer: Chief Accounting Officer | C/O SYMBOTIC INC., 200 RESEARCH DRIVE, WILMINGTON MA 01887 |
Steven R Mitchell | director | C/O ASPEN AEROGELS, INC., 30 FORBES ROAD, BUILDING B, NORTHBOROUGH MA 01532 |
Stephanie Pittman | officer: Chief Human Resources Officer | C/O ASPEN AEROGELS, INC., 30 FORBES RD., BUILDING B, NORTHBOROUGH MA 01532 |
Mark L Noetzel | director | 1000 ABERNATHY ROAD N.E., SUITE 1200, ATLANTA GA 30328 |
James E Sweetnam | director | DANA HOLDING CORPORATION, 3939 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, MAUMEE OH 43537 |
Virginia Johnson | officer: CLO, GC and Secretary | 30 FORBES ROAD, BUILDING B, NORTHBOROUGH MA 01532 |
Koch Industries Inc | 10 percent owner | 4111 EAST 37TH STREET NORTH, WICHITA KS 67220 |
Robert M. Gervis | director | 1000 ABERNATHY ROAD N.E., SUITE 1200, ATLANTA GA 30328 |
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