The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Warning Sign:
Altman Z-score of -1.92 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.
Aspen Aerogels has a Altman Z-Score of -1.96, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Aspen Aerogels's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
ASPN'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.51 Med: -0.93 Max: 17.02
Current: -1.92
During the past 13 years, Aspen Aerogels's highest Altman Z-Score was 17.02. The lowest was -5.51. And the median was -0.93.
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Aspen Aerogels Altman Z-Score Related Terms
Aspen Aerogels Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Aspen Aerogels's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
ASPN vs SWIM, JLHL, JBI: Altman Z-Score Comparison
For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Aspen Aerogels's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Aspen Aerogels Altman Z-Score vs Construction Industry
For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Aspen Aerogels's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Aspen Aerogels's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Aspen Aerogels's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.4048
+
1.4
*
-2.6152
+
3.3
*
-0.2412
+
0.6
*
2.4109
+
1.0
*
0.561
=
-1.96
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Aspen Aerogels (ASPN) has a Altman Z-Score of -1.96 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Aspen Aerogels and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Aspen Aerogels ranks #1718 out of 1758 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 97.7%.
Is Aspen Aerogels' Altman Z-Score too high?
Aspen Aerogels' current Altman Z-Score is -1.96. Based on the distribution chart, Aspen Aerogels ranks #1718 out of 1758 companies in the Construction industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Aspen Aerogels has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aspen Aerogels' Altman Z-Score compare to SWIM and JLHL?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, Aspen Aerogels ranks #1718 out of 1758 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Aspen Aerogels in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.35. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Construction company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Construction companies is 2.35, based on 1,758 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Aspen Aerogels and its competitors. For the Construction industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.35 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Aspen Aerogels's current Altman Z-Score is -1.96. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aspen Aerogels stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aspen Aerogels (ASPN) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $5.13, compared to a current price of $5.73 — trading 11.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is -1.96. Aspen Aerogels' overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aspen Aerogels (ASPN), the current Altman Z-Score is -1.96 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Aspen Aerogels (ASPN) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aspen Aerogels stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $5.73 is trading 11.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of $5.13.
GuruFocus considers Aspen Aerogels to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for ASPN:
Altman Z-Score: -1.96
GF Value™: $5.13 vs. price of $5.73 (11.7% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ASPN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Aspen Aerogels Inc is an aerogel technology company that designs, develops, and manufactures high-performance aerogel insulation used in the energy industrial and sustainable insulation markets. The company also conducts research and development related to aerogel technology, supported by funding from several agencies of the United States of America government and other institutions in the form of research and development contracts. It is engaged in two operating segment Energy Industrial and Thermal Barrier. Geographically, it operates in the U.S. and also has a presence in other International countries. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Thermal Barrier segment and the United States market. Some of its products include Pyrogel XTE, Cryogel Z, Spaceloft Subsea, and others.
66GF Score
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