Regis Healthcare (ASX:REG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$5.84 (As of Aug. 21, 2026) — 399% Above Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ASX:REG Regis Healthcare Ltd ASX:REG
76 GF Score
Price A$6.39
GF Value A$10.62
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Regis Healthcare Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Regis Healthcare ASX:REG +0.16% 76 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$5.84 as of Aug. 21, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 1.17. GuruFocus rates ASX:REG with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of A$10.62 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 342 Healthcare Providers & Services companies, Regis Healthcare ranks worse than 50.29% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-21), Regis Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$5.84. The stock price of Regis Healthcare is A$6.39. Therefore, Regis Healthcare's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Regis Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:REG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.83   Med: 1.17   Max: 2.37
Current: 1.09

During the past 11 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Regis Healthcare was 2.37. The lowest was 0.83. And the median was 1.17.

ASX:REG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
50.29% of 342 companies
in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry
Industry Median: 1.085 vs ASX:REG: 1.09

Regis Healthcare  (ASX:REG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Regis Healthcare's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=6.39/5.8369564598535
=1.09

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Regis Healthcare Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Regis Healthcare Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Regis Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Regis Healthcare Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Regis Healthcare Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.95 1.74 1.87 3.73 5.84

Regis Healthcare Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 3.73 0.00 5.84 0.00

ASX:REG vs HCA, THC, DVA: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Regis Healthcare's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Regis Healthcare Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Regis Healthcare's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Regis Healthcare's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


ASX:REG
76GF Score
Regis Healthcare Ltd ASX:REG
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Regis Healthcare Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Regis Healthcare's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = A$120.74.

Regis Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun25)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*120.73842857143+-16.724/0.8)/303.855
=5.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$5.84 mean?
Regis Healthcare (ASX:REG) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$5.84 as of Aug. 21, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Regis Healthcare and its competitors. This is 399% above median its historical median of 1.17. Over the past decade, Regis Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.83 to 2.37. According to the industry distribution chart, Regis Healthcare ranks #172 out of 342 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, placing it in the top 50.3%.
Is Regis Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Regis Healthcare's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$5.84 is 399% above median its 10-year median of 1.17. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.83 to a high of 2.37. Based on the distribution chart, Regis Healthcare ranks #172 out of 342 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Regis Healthcare has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Regis Healthcare's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to HCA and THC?
According to the Healthcare Providers & Services industry distribution chart, Regis Healthcare ranks #172 out of 342 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Regis Healthcare in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.09. Historically, Regis Healthcare's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.83 to 2.37 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Healthcare Providers & Services company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Healthcare Providers & Services companies is 1.09, based on 342 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Regis Healthcare and its competitors. For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.09 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Regis Healthcare's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$5.84, which is 399% above median its own 10-year median of 1.17. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Regis Healthcare stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Regis Healthcare (ASX:REG) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is A$10.62, compared to a current price of A$6.39 — trading 39.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$5.84, which is 399% above median its 10-year median of 1.17. Regis Healthcare's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Regis Healthcare (ASX:REG), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$5.84 as of Aug. 21, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Regis Healthcare (ASX:REG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Regis Healthcare stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of A$6.39 is trading 39.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$10.62. GuruFocus considers Regis Healthcare to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for ASX:REG:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$5.84 (399% above median its 10-year median of 1.17)
  • GF Value™: A$10.62 vs. price of A$6.39 (39.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:REG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Regis Healthcare Business Description

Other Exchanges 06K1:Germany
Address 293 Camberwell Road, Level 2, Camberwell, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3124
Regis Healthcare is an Australian residential aged care operator providing accommodation and care for individuals who require high levels of support due to health or mobility issues. Residents are typically over 85 years old and are typified by dementia, palliative care, incontinence, and falls risk. Regis also operates smaller retirement village and home care businesses.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:REG

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$6.39
Price
A$10.62
GF Value