AVAL (Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $18.77 (As of Aug. 31, 2026)

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AVAL Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores SA AVAL
60 GF Score
Price $5.24
GF Value $3.26
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores AVAL -0.19% 60 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.77 as of Aug. 31, 2026. GuruFocus rates AVAL with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.26 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 1,305 Banks companies, Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores ranks better than 80.69% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-31), Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.77. The stock price of Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores is $5.24. Therefore, Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AVAL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.14   Med: 0.95   Max: 2.02
Current: 0.28

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores was 2.02. The lowest was 0.14. And the median was 0.95.

AVAL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
80.69% of 1305 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.6 vs AVAL: 0.28

Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores  (NYSE:AVAL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=5.24/16.105016337335
=0.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.90 14.25 17.35 13.70 15.88

Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 15.88 0.00 0.00

AVAL vs USB, PNC: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


AVAL
60GF Score
Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores SA AVAL
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $954.73.

Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*954.72514285714+4931.454*0.8)/809.343
=16.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $18.77 mean?
Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores (AVAL) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $18.77 as of Aug. 31, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores ranks #252 out of 1305 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 19.3%.
Is Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.77. The Banks industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.60. Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores' value of $18.77 is 3028.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores ranks #252 out of 1305 companies in the Banks industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to USB and PNC?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores ranks #252 out of 1305 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores in the top 19% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.60. Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores' value of $18.77 is 3028.3% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Banks company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Banks companies is 0.60, based on 1,305 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $18.77 is 3028.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores and its competitors. For the Banks industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.60 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores (AVAL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.26, compared to a current price of $5.24 — trading 60.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.77 and 3028.3% above the Banks industry median of 0.60. Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores' overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores (AVAL), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $18.77 as of Aug. 31, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores (AVAL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $5.24 is trading 60.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of $3.26. GuruFocus considers Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for AVAL:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $18.77
  • GF Value™: $3.26 vs. price of $5.24 (60.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 3028.3% above the Banks median (#252 of 1305)

No single metric tells the full story. See the AVAL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores Business Description

Address Carrera 13 No. 26A - 47, Bogota D.C., COL, 110311
Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores SA is a Colombian financial services company. Its segments include: Banking Services segment comprises Banking Services, fund management and trust businesses, storage companies and entities that manage low-value payment systems. Merchant Banking segment comprises Financial Sector (trust and brokerage), Gas and Energy Sector (includes natural gas and energy transportation and distribution businesses), Infrastructure Sector (includes road infrastructure projects, construction services, and operation and maintenance), Hotel Sector (includes hospitality services), Agribusiness Sector (includes palm oil, rubber and rice businesses). Pension and Severance Fund Management segment comprise administrator of pension and severance funds; and Holding segment.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for AVAL

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$5.24
Price
$3.26
GF Value