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Mission ProduceAVO +3.96%77 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.89 as of Sep. 09, 2026. GuruFocus rates AVO with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of $13.18 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 227 Retail - Defensive companies, Mission Produce ranks worse than 82.38% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-09-09), Mission Produce's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.89. The stock price of Mission Produce is $13.40. Therefore, Mission Produce's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.9.
The historical rank and industry rank for Mission Produce's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
AVO'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.43 Med: 1.62 Max: 2.05
Current: 1.94
During the past 8 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Mission Produce was 2.05. The lowest was 1.43. And the median was 1.62.
AVO's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 82.38% of 227
companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 0.82
vs AVO: 1.94
Mission Produce (NAS:AVO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Mission Produce's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
13.40
/
7.4512597375177
=
1.80
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Mission Produce Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Mission Produce Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Mission Produce's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Mission Produce Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart
AVO vs WILCF, HFFG, DIT: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Food Distribution subindustry, Mission Produce's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Mission Produce Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Retail - Defensive Industry
For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Mission Produce's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Mission Produce's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Mission Produce Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $6.89 mean?
Mission Produce (AVO) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $6.89 as of Sep. 09, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Mission Produce and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Mission Produce ranks #187 out of 227 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 82.4%.
Is Mission Produce's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Mission Produce's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.89. The Retail - Defensive industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.82. Mission Produce's value of $6.89 is 740.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Mission Produce ranks #187 out of 227 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Mission Produce has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Mission Produce's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to WILCF and HFFG?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Mission Produce ranks #187 out of 227 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Mission Produce in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.82. Mission Produce's value of $6.89 is 740.2% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Retail - Defensive companies is 0.82, based on 227 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Mission Produce's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $6.89 is 740.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Mission Produce and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.82 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Mission Produce's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.89. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Mission Produce stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mission Produce (AVO) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $13.18, compared to a current price of $13.40 — trading 1.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.89 and 740.2% above the Retail - Defensive industry median of 0.82. Mission Produce's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Mission Produce (AVO), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.89 as of Sep. 09, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Mission Produce (AVO) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mission Produce stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $13.40 is trading 1.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of $13.18.
GuruFocus considers Mission Produce to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for AVO:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $6.89
GF Value™: $13.18 vs. price of $13.40 (1.7% above fair value)
Industry Position: 740.2% above the Retail - Defensive median (#187 of 227)
No single metric tells the full story. See the AVO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Mission Produce Inc produces, packs, and distributes mainly Hass avocados to retail, wholesale, and food service customers, offering pre-ripe and ripened fruit tailored to customer specifications through its network of ripening facilities. The Company operates through three segments: Marketing & Distribution, which sources and distributes fruit globally and generates the majority of revenue; International Farming, which owns and operates avocado orchards and supplies fruit mainly to Marketing & Distribution, with operations principally in Peru and Guatemala; and Blueberries, which farms blueberries sold under an exclusive marketing agreement. The Company's operations span Peru, the United States, Guatemala, Mexico, Europe, and Canada.
77GF Score
Get the complete analysis for AVO
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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