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Saha Pathanapibul PCL (BKK:SPC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ฿104.14 (As of Jun. 24, 2024)


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What is Saha Pathanapibul PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-24), Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ฿104.14. The stock price of Saha Pathanapibul PCL is ฿60.50. Therefore, Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:SPC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.49   Med: 0.67   Max: 1.53
Current: 0.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Saha Pathanapibul PCL was 1.53. The lowest was 0.49. And the median was 0.67.

BKK:SPC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
71.36% of 220 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 0.88 vs BKK:SPC: 0.58

Saha Pathanapibul PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Saha Pathanapibul PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Saha Pathanapibul PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 88.26 97.38 99.05 98.12 105.20

Saha Pathanapibul PCL Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 99.24 100.24 100.83 105.20 104.14

Competitive Comparison of Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Food Distribution subindustry, Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Saha Pathanapibul PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ฿1,318.33.

Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.6517283697394*1318.32896+26834.534*0.8)/328.316
=104.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Saha Pathanapibul PCL  (BKK:SPC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Saha Pathanapibul PCL's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=60.50/104.14289959637
=0.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Saha Pathanapibul PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Saha Pathanapibul PCL (BKK:SPC) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2156 New Petchburi Road, Bangkapi, Huaykwang, Bangkok, THA, 10310
Saha Pathanapibul PCL is a Thailand based company, engaged in the business of consumer goods distribution and property development. In addition, the company along with its subsidiaries is also involved in the business of investing in real estate and services, and office building for rent. The group generates the majority of the revenue from the sales of consumer products segment. It distributes products range which includes food, beverages, household, and personal care products. The group operates its business activities in Thailand and internationally.