Celsia Colombia ESP (BOG:CSACOL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: COP8,069.20 (As of Aug. 10, 2026) — 382327% Above Median

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BOG:CSACOL Celsia Colombia SA ESP BOG:CSACOL
17 GF Score
Price COP18,905.00
GF Value COP25,497.79
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Celsia Colombia ESP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Celsia Colombia ESP BOG:CSACOL 17 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is COP8,069.20 as of Aug. 10, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 2.11. GuruFocus rates BOG:CSACOL with a GF Score™ of 17/100 and a GF Value™ of COP25,497.79. The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-10), Celsia Colombia ESP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is COP8,069.20. The stock price of Celsia Colombia ESP is COP18905.00. Therefore, Celsia Colombia ESP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Celsia Colombia ESP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BOG:CSACOL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.65   Med: 2.11   Max: 2.71
Current: 2.34

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Celsia Colombia ESP was 2.71. The lowest was 0.65. And the median was 2.11.

BOG:CSACOL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked
in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.
Industry Median: 0.825 vs BOG:CSACOL: 2.34

Celsia Colombia ESP  (BOG:CSACOL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Celsia Colombia ESP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=18905.00/7508.5045488415
=2.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Celsia Colombia ESP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Celsia Colombia ESP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Celsia Colombia ESP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Celsia Colombia ESP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Celsia Colombia ESP Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9,197.86 8,287.07 10,326.21 8,794.38 8,069.20

Celsia Colombia ESP Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7,158.79 7,507.35 7,813.09 8,069.20 0.00

BOG:CSACOL vs BE: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Celsia Colombia ESP's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Celsia Colombia ESP Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Celsia Colombia ESP's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Celsia Colombia ESP's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


BOG:CSACOL
17GF Score
Celsia Colombia SA ESP BOG:CSACOL
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Celsia Colombia ESP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Celsia Colombia ESP's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = COP-66,551.88.

Celsia Colombia ESP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*-66551.87952+4730692.195*0.8)/372.300
=7,508.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of COP8,069.20 mean?
Celsia Colombia ESP (BOG:CSACOL) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of COP8,069.20 as of Aug. 10, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Celsia Colombia ESP and its competitors. This is 382327% above median its historical median of 2.11. Over the past decade, Celsia Colombia ESP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.65 to 2.71.
Is Celsia Colombia ESP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Celsia Colombia ESP's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of COP8,069.20 is 382327% above median its 10-year median of 2.11. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.65 to a high of 2.71. Overall, Celsia Colombia ESP has a GF Score™ of 17/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Celsia Colombia ESP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to BE?
Celsia Colombia ESP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of COP8,069.20 can be compared against companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.83. Historically, Celsia Colombia ESP's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.65 to 2.71 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Utilities - Independent Power Producers company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Utilities - Independent Power Producers companies is 0.83, based on 244 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Celsia Colombia ESP and its competitors. For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.83 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Celsia Colombia ESP's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is COP8,069.20, which is 382327% above median its own 10-year median of 2.11. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Celsia Colombia ESP stock overvalued right now?
Celsia Colombia ESP (BOG:CSACOL) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of COP8,069.20. The stock's GF Value™ is COP25,497.79, compared to a current price of COP18,905.00 — trading 25.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is COP8,069.20, which is 382327% above median its 10-year median of 2.11. Celsia Colombia ESP's overall GF Score™ is 17/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Celsia Colombia ESP (BOG:CSACOL), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is COP8,069.20 as of Aug. 10, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Celsia Colombia ESP (BOG:CSACOL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Celsia Colombia ESP stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of COP18,905.00 is trading 25.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of COP25,497.79.

Key valuation signals for BOG:CSACOL:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: COP8,069.20 (382327% above median its 10-year median of 2.11)
  • GF Value™: COP25,497.79 vs. price of COP18,905.00 (25.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 17/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BOG:CSACOL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Celsia Colombia ESP Business Description

Address Calle 15 No. 29B 30 Autopista, Valle del Cauca, Cali, Yumbo, COL
Celsia Colombia SA ESP is engaged in the generation of hydroelectric energy. The company engages in generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity. Its power generation plants include Run-of-the-river that uses river's flow to generate electricity; and Reservoir that generates energy through stored water. The company's produced electricity is sold to wholesale markets (energy market), regulated market (small consumers) and non-regulated market (large consumers). Revenue for the company is derived from the production and sale of electricity.
17GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BOG:CSACOL

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

COP18,905.00
Price
COP25,497.79
GF Value