Celsia Colombia ESP (BOG:CSACOL) Beneish M-Score: -2.89 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


BOG:CSACOL Celsia Colombia SA ESP BOG:CSACOL
17 GF Score
Price COP18,905.00
GF Value COP25,497.79
! 10 Warning Signs
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What is Celsia Colombia ESP Beneish M-Score?

Celsia Colombia ESP BOG:CSACOL 17 Beneish M-Score is -2.89 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates BOG:CSACOL with a GF Score™ of 17/100 and a GF Value™ of COP25,497.79. The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.89 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Celsia Colombia ESP's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BOG:CSACOL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.51   Med: -2.19   Max: 0.13
Current: -2.89

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Celsia Colombia ESP was 0.13. The lowest was -4.51. And the median was -2.19.


Celsia Colombia ESP Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Celsia Colombia ESP's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Celsia Colombia ESP Beneish M-Score Chart

Celsia Colombia ESP Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.88 -2.07 -4.51 -2.67 -2.89

Celsia Colombia ESP Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.94 -3.17 -3.16 -2.89 0.00

BOG:CSACOL vs BE: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Celsia Colombia ESP's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Celsia Colombia ESP Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Celsia Colombia ESP's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Celsia Colombia ESP's Beneish M-Score falls into.


BOG:CSACOL
17GF Score
Celsia Colombia SA ESP BOG:CSACOL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Celsia Colombia ESP Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Celsia Colombia ESP for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7853+0.528 * 0.6669+0.404 * 1.195+0.892 * 0.7913+0.115 * 1.2641
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2175+4.679 * 8.6E-5-0.327 * 0.7666
=-2.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was COP1,417,307 Mil.
Revenue was 1320651.473 + 1277739.61 + 1287701.949 + 1432248.968 = COP5,318,342 Mil.
Gross Profit was 345870.507 + 355007.243 + 407773.05 + 465159.199 = COP1,573,810 Mil.
Total Current Assets was COP1,975,134 Mil.
Total Assets was COP13,506,623 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was COP10,756,478 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was COP314,617 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was COP315,025 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was COP2,809,078 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was COP3,425,075 Mil.
Net Income was 99619.223 + 58606.035 + 127619.896 + 140703.846 = COP426,549 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = COP0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + 210160.71 + 185879.894 + 29347.719 = COP425,388 Mil.
Total Receivables was COP2,280,774 Mil.
Revenue was 2083558.105 + 1416439.118 + 1884576.085 + 1336742.691 = COP6,721,316 Mil.
Gross Profit was 364591.69 + 292707.07 + 398766.543 + 270291.695 = COP1,326,357 Mil.
Total Current Assets was COP2,928,385 Mil.
Total Assets was COP13,962,247 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was COP10,363,467 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was COP386,165 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was COP327,017 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was COP4,792,766 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was COP3,613,695 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1417307 / 5318342) / (2280774 / 6721315.999)
=0.266494 / 0.339334
=0.7853

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1326356.998 / 6721315.999) / (1573809.999 / 5318342)
=0.197336 / 0.295921
=0.6669

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1975134 + 10756478) / 13506623) / (1 - (2928385 + 10363467) / 13962247)
=0.05738 / 0.048015
=1.195

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5318342 / 6721315.999
=0.7913

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(386165 / (386165 + 10363467)) / (314617.099 / (314617.099 + 10756478))
=0.035924 / 0.028418
=1.2641

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(315024.999 / 5318342) / (327017.201 / 6721315.999)
=0.059234 / 0.048654
=1.2175

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3425075 + 2809078) / 13506623) / ((3613695 + 4792766) / 13962247)
=0.461563 / 0.602085
=0.7666

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(426549 - 0 - 425388.323) / 13506623
=8.6E-5

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Celsia Colombia ESP has a M-score of -2.89 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.89 mean?
Celsia Colombia ESP (BOG:CSACOL) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.89 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Celsia Colombia ESP and its competitors.
Is Celsia Colombia ESP's Beneish M-Score too high?
Celsia Colombia ESP's current Beneish M-Score is -2.89. Overall, Celsia Colombia ESP has a GF Score™ of 17/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Celsia Colombia ESP's Beneish M-Score compare to BE?
Celsia Colombia ESP's Beneish M-Score of -2.89 can be compared against companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Independent Power Producers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Celsia Colombia ESP and its competitors. Celsia Colombia ESP's current Beneish M-Score is -2.89. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Celsia Colombia ESP stock overvalued right now?
Celsia Colombia ESP (BOG:CSACOL) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.89. The stock's GF Value™ is COP25,497.79, compared to a current price of COP18,905.00 — trading 25.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.89. Celsia Colombia ESP's overall GF Score™ is 17/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Celsia Colombia ESP (BOG:CSACOL), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.89 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Celsia Colombia ESP (BOG:CSACOL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Celsia Colombia ESP stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of COP18,905.00 is trading 25.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of COP25,497.79.

Key valuation signals for BOG:CSACOL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.89
  • GF Value™: COP25,497.79 vs. price of COP18,905.00 (25.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 17/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BOG:CSACOL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Celsia Colombia ESP Business Description

Address Calle 15 No. 29B 30 Autopista, Valle del Cauca, Cali, Yumbo, COL
Celsia Colombia SA ESP is engaged in the generation of hydroelectric energy. The company engages in generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity. Its power generation plants include Run-of-the-river that uses river's flow to generate electricity; and Reservoir that generates energy through stored water. The company's produced electricity is sold to wholesale markets (energy market), regulated market (small consumers) and non-regulated market (large consumers). Revenue for the company is derived from the production and sale of electricity.
17GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BOG:CSACOL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

COP18,905.00
Price
COP25,497.79
GF Value