COSUMAR (CAS:CSR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: MAD139.39 (As of Aug. 03, 2026) — 7476% Above Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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CAS:CSR COSUMAR SA CAS:CSR
84 GF Score
Price MAD186.00
GF Value MAD179.41
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is COSUMAR Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

COSUMAR CAS:CSR +2.20% 84 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MAD139.39 as of Aug. 03, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 1.84. GuruFocus rates CAS:CSR with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of MAD179.41 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,317 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, COSUMAR ranks worse than 64.46% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-03), COSUMAR's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MAD139.39. The stock price of COSUMAR is MAD186.00. Therefore, COSUMAR's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for COSUMAR's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CAS:CSR' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.3   Med: 1.84   Max: 2.16
Current: 1.33

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of COSUMAR was 2.16. The lowest was 1.30. And the median was 1.84.

CAS:CSR's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
64.46% of 1317 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 0.97 vs CAS:CSR: 1.33

COSUMAR  (CAS:CSR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

COSUMAR's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=186.00/139.39305896445
=1.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


COSUMAR Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


COSUMAR Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for COSUMAR's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

COSUMAR Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

COSUMAR Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 121.11 100.32 105.29 94.27 139.39

COSUMAR Semi-Annual Data
Dec15 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 105.29 0.00 94.27 0.00 139.39

CAS:CSR vs MDLZ, HSY, TR: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Confectioners subindustry, COSUMAR's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


COSUMAR Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, COSUMAR's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where COSUMAR's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


CAS:CSR
84GF Score
COSUMAR SA CAS:CSR
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

COSUMAR Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get COSUMAR's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = MAD910.03.

COSUMAR's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*910.02857142857+5633.8*0.8)/94.487
=139.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of MAD139.39 mean?
COSUMAR (CAS:CSR) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of MAD139.39 as of Aug. 03, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on COSUMAR and its competitors. This is 7476% above median its historical median of 1.84. Over the past decade, COSUMAR's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.30 to 2.16. According to the industry distribution chart, COSUMAR ranks #849 out of 1317 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 64.5%.
Is COSUMAR's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
COSUMAR's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of MAD139.39 is 7476% above median its 10-year median of 1.84. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.30 to a high of 2.16. Based on the distribution chart, COSUMAR ranks #849 out of 1317 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, COSUMAR has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does COSUMAR's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to MDLZ and HSY?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, COSUMAR ranks #849 out of 1317 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places COSUMAR in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.97. Historically, COSUMAR's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.30 to 2.16 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 0.97, based on 1,317 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on COSUMAR and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.97 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. COSUMAR's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MAD139.39, which is 7476% above median its own 10-year median of 1.84. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is COSUMAR stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, COSUMAR (CAS:CSR) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is MAD179.41, compared to a current price of MAD186.00 — trading 3.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MAD139.39, which is 7476% above median its 10-year median of 1.84. COSUMAR's overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For COSUMAR (CAS:CSR), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MAD139.39 as of Aug. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is COSUMAR (CAS:CSR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, COSUMAR stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MAD186.00 is trading 3.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of MAD179.41. GuruFocus considers COSUMAR to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for CAS:CSR:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: MAD139.39 (7476% above median its 10-year median of 1.84)
  • GF Value™: MAD179.41 vs. price of MAD186.00 (3.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CAS:CSR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


COSUMAR Business Description

Address 8 rue Mouatamid Ibnou Abbad, BP 3098 Roches Noires, Casablanca, MAR
COSUMAR SA is a Moroccan company specializing in sugar extraction, refining, and sugar packaging. The company's product portfolio includes sugar loaves, the lump, granulated sugar, ingots, pellets, bagasse, and molasses.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CAS:CSR

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MAD186.00
Price
MAD179.41
GF Value