Ambea AB (CHIX:AMBEAS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: kr301.87 (As of Sep. 14, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

CHIX:AMBEAS Ambea AB CHIX:AMBEAS
83 GF Score
Price kr144.20
GF Value kr115.23
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is Ambea AB Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Ambea AB CHIX:AMBEAS 83 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is kr301.87 as of Sep. 14, 2026. GuruFocus rates CHIX:AMBEAS with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of kr115.23. The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 347 Healthcare Providers & Services companies, Ambea AB ranks better than 83% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-14), Ambea AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is kr301.87. The stock price of Ambea AB is kr144.20. Therefore, Ambea AB's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ambea AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:AMBEAs' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.16   Med: 0.34   Max: 0.65
Current: 0.48

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ambea AB was 0.65. The lowest was 0.16. And the median was 0.34.

CHIX:AMBEAs's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
83% of 347 companies
in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry
Industry Median: 1.04 vs CHIX:AMBEAs: 0.48

Ambea AB  (CHIX:AMBEAs) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Ambea AB's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=144.20/348.14222079093
=0.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ambea AB Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Ambea AB Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ambea AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ambea AB Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Ambea AB Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 106.15 177.78 199.92 252.63 292.82

Ambea AB Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 267.33 302.61 292.82 301.35 326.95

CHIX:AMBEAS vs HCA, THC, EHC: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Ambea AB's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ambea AB Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Ambea AB's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ambea AB's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


CHIX:AMBEAS
83GF Score
Ambea AB CHIX:AMBEAS
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ambea AB Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ambea AB's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = kr1,603.20.

Ambea AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*1603.2+5140*0.8)/80.254
=348.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of kr301.87 mean?
Ambea AB (CHIX:AMBEAS) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of kr301.87 as of Sep. 14, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Ambea AB and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Ambea AB ranks #59 out of 347 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, placing it in the top 17%.
Is Ambea AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Ambea AB's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is kr301.87. Based on the distribution chart, Ambea AB ranks #59 out of 347 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Ambea AB has a GF Score™ of 83/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ambea AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to HCA and THC?
According to the Healthcare Providers & Services industry distribution chart, Ambea AB ranks #59 out of 347 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Ambea AB in the top 17% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.04. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Healthcare Providers & Services company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Healthcare Providers & Services companies is 1.04, based on 347 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Ambea AB and its competitors. For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.04 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Ambea AB's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is kr301.87. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ambea AB stock overvalued right now?
Ambea AB (CHIX:AMBEAS) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of kr301.87. The stock's GF Value™ is kr115.23, compared to a current price of kr144.20 — trading 25.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is kr301.87. Ambea AB's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ambea AB (CHIX:AMBEAS), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is kr301.87 as of Sep. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ambea AB (CHIX:AMBEAS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ambea AB stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of kr144.20 is trading 25.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of kr115.23.

Key valuation signals for CHIX:AMBEAS:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: kr301.87
  • GF Value™: kr115.23 vs. price of kr144.20 (25.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:AMBEAS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ambea AB Business Description

Address Rontgenvagen 3D, Box 1565, Solna, Stockholm, SWE, 171 29
Ambea AB is a Swedish care-provider group focused on elderly care, disability care, psychosocial support, housing, staffing, and training across the Nordic region. The company's segment includes: i) Nytida: Comprises social care services for children, youth and adults, in Sweden, ii) Vardaga: Comprises nursing homes and home care in Sweden, iii) Stendi: Comprises social care for children, youth and adult in Norway, iv) Validia: Comprises social care for children, v) Altiden: Comprises social care for children, youth and adults as well as elderly care in Denmark, and vi) Klara: Comprises competence and staffing solutions for elderly and social care, and student health services in Sweden. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from the Vardaga segment.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHIX:AMBEAS

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

kr144.20
Price
kr115.23
GF Value