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Axfood ABCHIX:AXFOS 78 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is kr274.28 as of Aug. 01, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 1.37. GuruFocus rates CHIX:AXFOS with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of kr298.02 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 225 Retail - Defensive companies, Axfood AB ranks worse than 50.67% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-08-01), Axfood AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is kr274.28. The stock price of Axfood AB is kr232.90. Therefore, Axfood AB's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.
The historical rank and industry rank for Axfood AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
CHIX:AXFOs'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.85 Med: 1.37 Max: 1.73
Current: 0.85
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Axfood AB was 1.73. The lowest was 0.85. And the median was 1.37.
CHIX:AXFOs's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 50.67% of 225
companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 0.87
vs CHIX:AXFOs: 0.85
Axfood AB (CHIX:AXFOs) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Axfood AB's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
232.90
/
275.9334767238
=
0.84
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Axfood AB Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Axfood AB Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Axfood AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
CHIX:AXFOS vs KR, SFM: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Axfood AB's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Axfood AB Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Retail - Defensive Industry
For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Axfood AB's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Axfood AB's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Axfood AB Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of kr274.28 mean?
Axfood AB (CHIX:AXFOS) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of kr274.28 as of Aug. 01, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Axfood AB and its competitors. This is 19920% above median its historical median of 1.37. Over the past decade, Axfood AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.85 to 1.73. According to the industry distribution chart, Axfood AB ranks #114 out of 225 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 50.7%.
Is Axfood AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Axfood AB's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of kr274.28 is 19920% above median its 10-year median of 1.37. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.85 to a high of 1.73. Based on the distribution chart, Axfood AB ranks #114 out of 225 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Axfood AB has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Axfood AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to KR and SFM?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Axfood AB ranks #114 out of 225 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Axfood AB in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.87. Historically, Axfood AB's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.85 to 1.73 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Retail - Defensive companies is 0.87, based on 225 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Axfood AB and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.87 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Axfood AB's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is kr274.28, which is 19920% above median its own 10-year median of 1.37. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Axfood AB stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Axfood AB (CHIX:AXFOS) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is kr298.02, compared to a current price of kr232.90 — trading 21.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is kr274.28, which is 19920% above median its 10-year median of 1.37. Axfood AB's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Axfood AB (CHIX:AXFOS), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is kr274.28 as of Aug. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Axfood AB (CHIX:AXFOS) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Axfood AB stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of kr232.90 is trading 21.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of kr298.02.
GuruFocus considers Axfood AB to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for CHIX:AXFOS:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: kr274.28 (19920% above median its 10-year median of 1.37)
GF Value™: kr298.02 vs. price of kr232.90 (21.9% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:AXFOS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Axfood AB operates food retail and wholesale businesses in Sweden. The company operates various food retail grocery chains, discount stores, hypermarkets, restaurants, cafes, and pharmacies through different brands. The company's operating segments include Willys, Hemkop, Dagab, City Gross, and Snabbgross. A majority of its revenue is generated from the Willys segment, which is a discount grocery chain, offering various products in both group-owned stores and online. This segment also includes the partly owned cross-border grocery chain Eurocash.
78GF Score
Get the complete analysis for CHIX:AXFOS
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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