Axfood AB (CHIX:AXFOS) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF: 13.14 (As of Sep. 15, 2026) — 36% Below Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

CHIX:AXFOS Axfood AB CHIX:AXFOS
72 GF Score
Price kr232.90
GF Value kr298.30
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Axfood AB Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

Axfood AB CHIX:AXFOS 72 Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 13.14 as of Sep. 15, 2026, which is 36% below its 10-year median of 20.44. GuruFocus rates CHIX:AXFOS with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of kr298.30 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 137 Retail - Defensive companies, Axfood AB ranks better than 51.09% on this metric.

As of today (2026-09-15), Axfood AB's current share price is kr232.90. Axfood AB's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was kr17.72. Axfood AB's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 13.14.

The historical rank and industry rank for Axfood AB's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:AXFOs' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 14.13   Med: 20.44   Max: 27.75
Current: 14.55

During the past years, Axfood AB's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 27.75. The lowest was 14.13. And the median was 20.44.

CHIX:AXFOs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked better than
51.09% of 137 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 14.81 vs CHIX:AXFOs: 14.55

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Axfood AB's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was kr4.235. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is kr17.72 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Axfood AB  (CHIX:AXFOs) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Axfood AB Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms


Axfood AB Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Axfood AB's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Axfood AB Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Axfood AB Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.80 22.68 18.90 14.77 16.97

Axfood AB Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.66 17.42 16.78 17.81 14.65

CHIX:AXFOS vs KR, SFM: Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Comparison

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Axfood AB's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Axfood AB Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Axfood AB's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Axfood AB's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


CHIX:AXFOS
72GF Score
Axfood AB CHIX:AXFOS
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Axfood AB Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Axfood AB's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=232.90/17.721
=13.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Axfood AB's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Axfood AB's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=4.235/134.6100*134.6100
=4.235

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 134.6100.

Axfood AB Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201609 2.017 101.138 2.685
201612 3.047 102.022 4.020
201703 -0.430 102.022 -0.567
201706 4.499 102.752 5.894
201709 2.070 103.279 2.698
201712 2.761 103.793 3.581
201803 2.388 103.962 3.092
201806 1.515 104.875 1.945
201809 2.873 105.679 3.660
201812 2.641 105.912 3.357
201903 2.367 105.886 3.009
201906 4.169 106.742 5.257
201909 2.464 107.214 3.094
201912 1.630 107.766 2.036
202003 5.254 106.563 6.637
202006 3.266 107.498 4.090
202009 4.712 107.635 5.893
202012 5.795 108.296 7.203
202103 4.427 108.360 5.499
202106 4.163 108.928 5.145
202109 2.309 110.338 2.817
202112 3.666 112.486 4.387
202203 4.578 114.825 5.367
202206 1.618 118.384 1.840
202209 5.834 122.296 6.421
202212 5.184 126.365 5.522
202303 0.410 127.042 0.434
202306 5.571 129.407 5.795
202309 5.503 130.224 5.688
202312 8.269 131.912 8.438
202403 6.632 132.205 6.753
202406 2.952 132.716 2.994
202409 3.435 132.304 3.495
202412 7.054 132.987 7.140
202503 4.316 132.825 4.374
202506 7.182 133.699 7.231
202509 4.819 133.480 4.860
202512 8.458 133.380 8.536
202603 2.633 133.550 2.654
202606 4.235 134.610 4.235

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of 13.14 mean?
Axfood AB (CHIX:AXFOS) has a Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of 13.14 as of Sep. 15, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Axfood AB and its competitors. This is 36% below median its historical median of 20.44. Over the past decade, Axfood AB's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF has ranged from 14.13 to 27.75. According to the industry distribution chart, Axfood AB ranks #67 out of 137 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 48.9%.
Is Axfood AB's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF too high?
Axfood AB's current Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of 13.14 is 36% below median its 10-year median of 20.44. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 14.13 to a high of 27.75. The Retail - Defensive industry median Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 14.81. Axfood AB's value of 13.14 is 11.3% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Axfood AB ranks #67 out of 137 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Axfood AB has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Axfood AB's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF compare to KR and SFM?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Axfood AB ranks #67 out of 137 companies for Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. This puts Axfood AB in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 14.81. Axfood AB's value of 13.14 is 11.3% below this benchmark. Historically, Axfood AB's own Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF has ranged from 14.13 to 27.75 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 20.44 vs. the industry median of 14.81, Axfood AB has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF among Retail - Defensive companies is 14.81, based on 137 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Axfood AB's current Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of 13.14 is 11.3% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Axfood AB and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 14.81 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Axfood AB's current Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 13.14, which is 36% below median its own 10-year median of 20.44. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Axfood AB stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Axfood AB (CHIX:AXFOS) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is kr298.30, compared to a current price of kr232.90 — trading 21.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 13.14, which is 36% below median its 10-year median of 20.44 and 11.3% below the Retail - Defensive industry median of 14.81. Axfood AB's overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Axfood AB (CHIX:AXFOS), the current Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is 13.14 as of Sep. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Axfood AB (CHIX:AXFOS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Axfood AB stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of kr232.90 is trading 21.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of kr298.30. GuruFocus considers Axfood AB to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for CHIX:AXFOS:

  • Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF: 13.14 (36% below median its 10-year median of 20.44)
  • GF Value™: kr298.30 vs. price of kr232.90 (21.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 11.3% below the Retail - Defensive median (#67 of 137)

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:AXFOS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Axfood AB Business Description

Other Exchanges AXFOF:USAAXFO:Sweden0R6R:UK
Address Solnavagen 4, Stockholm, SWE, 113 65
Axfood AB operates food retail and wholesale businesses in Sweden. The company operates various food retail grocery chains, discount stores, hypermarkets, restaurants, cafes, and pharmacies through different brands. The company's operating segments include Willys, Hemkop, Dagab, City Gross, and Snabbgross. A majority of its revenue is generated from the Willys segment, which is a discount grocery chain, offering various products in both group-owned stores and online. This segment also includes the partly owned cross-border grocery chain Eurocash.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHIX:AXFOS

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

kr232.90
Price
kr298.30
GF Value