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Lanka IOC (COL:LIOC.N0000) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : රු276.73 (As of Jun. 21, 2024)


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What is Lanka IOC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-21), Lanka IOC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is රු276.73. The stock price of Lanka IOC is රු130.50. Therefore, Lanka IOC's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lanka IOC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

COL:LIOC.N0000' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.42   Med: 1.07   Max: 2.07
Current: 0.47

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Lanka IOC was 2.07. The lowest was 0.42. And the median was 1.07.

COL:LIOC.N0000's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
75.92% of 677 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.79 vs COL:LIOC.N0000: 0.47

Lanka IOC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lanka IOC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lanka IOC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Lanka IOC Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.65 25.56 24.49 163.10 276.73

Lanka IOC Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 163.10 187.42 251.14 236.14 276.73

Competitive Comparison of Lanka IOC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Lanka IOC's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lanka IOC's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Lanka IOC's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lanka IOC's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Lanka IOC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Lanka IOC's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = රු5,961.52.

Lanka IOC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*5961.516+73470.157*0.8)/532.578
=276.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Lanka IOC  (COL:LIOC.N0000) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Lanka IOC's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=130.50/276.72955156401
=0.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Lanka IOC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Lanka IOC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Lanka IOC (COL:LIOC.N0000) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
World Trade Center, Level 20, West Tower, Echelon Square, Colombo, LKA, 01
Lanka IOC PLC is engaged in importing, blending, distributing, and selling of petroleum products. Its product offering is divided into five divisions namely Autofuel, Lubricants, Bitumen, Bunkering, and Petrochemicals. The Company is dealing only in the Petroleum products. Some of its products are Diesel, Petrol, IFO 180 cst, Marine Gas Oil, Bitumen 60/70, Bitumen 80/100 and others. The company gets revenue from Lanka Petrol 92 Octane, Lanka Auto Diesel, Xtramile, Lanka Super Diesel, Xtrapremium Euro 3, Xtrapremium 95, Lubricants, Bunkering, Bitumen and Petrochemical.

Lanka IOC (COL:LIOC.N0000) Headlines

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