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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
The historical rank and industry rank for CTT-Correios de Portugal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
CTTOF'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.14 Med: 0.26 Max: 0.76
Current: 0.16
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of CTT-Correios de Portugal was 0.76. The lowest was 0.14. And the median was 0.26.
CTTOF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 95.91% of 733
companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.86
vs CTTOF: 0.16
CTT-Correios de Portugal (OTCPK:CTTOF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
CTT-Correios de Portugal's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
7.23
/
54.819574100855
=
0.13
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
CTT-Correios de Portugal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
CTT-Correios de Portugal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
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The historical data trend for CTT-Correios de Portugal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
CTT-Correios de Portugal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart
CTTOF vs UPS, FDX, EXPD: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, CTT-Correios de Portugal's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
CTT-Correios de Portugal Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Transportation Industry
For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, CTT-Correios de Portugal's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where CTT-Correios de Portugal's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
CTT-Correios de Portugal Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $44.17 mean?
CTT-Correios de Portugal (CTTOF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $44.17 as of Sep. 20, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on CTT-Correios de Portugal and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, CTT-Correios de Portugal ranks #30 out of 733 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 4.1%.
Is CTT-Correios de Portugal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
CTT-Correios de Portugal's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $44.17. The Transportation industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.86. CTT-Correios de Portugal's value of $44.17 is 5036% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, CTT-Correios de Portugal ranks #30 out of 733 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, CTT-Correios de Portugal has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does CTT-Correios de Portugal's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to UPS and FDX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, CTT-Correios de Portugal ranks #30 out of 733 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places CTT-Correios de Portugal in the top 4% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.86. CTT-Correios de Portugal's value of $44.17 is 5036% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Transportation company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Transportation companies is 0.86, based on 733 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. CTT-Correios de Portugal's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $44.17 is 5036% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on CTT-Correios de Portugal and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.86 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. CTT-Correios de Portugal's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $44.17. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is CTT-Correios de Portugal stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CTT-Correios de Portugal (CTTOF) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $7.83, compared to a current price of $7.23 — trading 7.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $44.17 and 5036% above the Transportation industry median of 0.86. CTT-Correios de Portugal's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For CTT-Correios de Portugal (CTTOF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $44.17 as of Sep. 20, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is CTT-Correios de Portugal (CTTOF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CTT-Correios de Portugal stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $7.23 is trading 7.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of $7.83.
GuruFocus considers CTT-Correios de Portugal to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for CTTOF:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $44.17
GF Value™: $7.83 vs. price of $7.23 (7.7% below fair value)
Industry Position: 5036% above the Transportation median (#30 of 733)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CTTOF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
CTT-Correios de Portugal SA operates in the postal and logistics sector, with operations organised into the segments Mail & Services, Express & Parcels, E-commerce Solutions, and Financial Services. The Mail & Services area comprises Mail, Business Solutions, and Financial and Retail Services. Mail is the main business, Business Solutions uses digitalisation to strengthen customer relationships, and Financial and Retail Services are supported by the retail network. Products and services include mail delivery, express and shipping solutions such as Basic Mail, Track Mail, and Express for Tomorrow, digital platforms, document management, business process services, payments, financial intermediation, insurance, and retail services. It operates in Portugal, Spain and the rest of the world.
79GF Score
Get the complete analysis for CTTOF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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