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Humm Group (Humm Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-4.68 (As of Jun. 18, 2024)


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What is Humm Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-18), Humm Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-4.68. The stock price of Humm Group is $1.17. Therefore, Humm Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Humm Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Humm Group was 0.95. The lowest was 0.26. And the median was 0.41.

HUMGF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Credit Services industry.
Industry Median: 0.72
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Humm Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Humm Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Humm Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Humm Group Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.12 4.55 3.79 3.20 -4.23

Humm Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 3.20 - -4.23 -

Competitive Comparison of Humm Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Credit Services subindustry, Humm Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Humm Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, Humm Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Humm Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Humm Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Humm Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-94.51.

Humm Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-94.506857142857+420.201*0.8)/499.592
=-1.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Humm Group  (OTCPK:HUMGF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Humm Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.17/-1.1280759264152
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Humm Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Humm Group (Humm Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
121 Harrington Street, Level 1, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000
Humm is a diversified finance provider with offerings centered on buy now pay later, or BNPL, credit cards and equipment finance. It facilitates purchases for over 2.7 million customers. Humm operates in Australia, New Zealand, Ireland, and Canada. While it caters for a diverse range of industries, its focus is on financing higher ticket items. Unlike the glut of new BNPL firms, Humm is established with a long operating history. Originally Flexigroup, Humm had a strategic refresh in 2019 where it has now consolidated to around four main brands in ANZ, from 20 before. In its earlier days, Humm focused on Visa and interest-free cards, lay-by, consumer leasing, commercial finance, and other payment solutions to consumers and small businesses.

Humm Group (Humm Group) Headlines

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