JOUT (Johnson Outdoors) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $49.97 (As of Aug. 28, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

JOUT Johnson Outdoors Inc JOUT
77 GF Score
Price $45.59
GF Value $44.04
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Johnson Outdoors Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Johnson Outdoors JOUT +0.64% 77 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $49.97 as of Aug. 28, 2026. GuruFocus rates JOUT with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of $44.04 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 594 Travel & Leisure companies, Johnson Outdoors ranks better than 50.84% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-28), Johnson Outdoors's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $49.97. The stock price of Johnson Outdoors is $45.59. Therefore, Johnson Outdoors's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Johnson Outdoors's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

JOUT' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.52   Med: 1.21   Max: 2.14
Current: 0.91

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Johnson Outdoors was 2.14. The lowest was 0.52. And the median was 1.21.

JOUT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
50.84% of 594 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 0.93 vs JOUT: 0.91

Johnson Outdoors  (NAS:JOUT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Johnson Outdoors's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=45.59/49.971030248359
=0.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Johnson Outdoors Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Johnson Outdoors Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Johnson Outdoors's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Johnson Outdoors Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Johnson Outdoors Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 79.34 58.75 54.70 47.79 46.31

Johnson Outdoors Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 57.96 46.31 35.60 37.91 49.97

JOUT vs FNKO, JAKK, TRON: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Leisure subindustry, Johnson Outdoors's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Johnson Outdoors Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Johnson Outdoors's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Johnson Outdoors's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


JOUT
77GF Score
Johnson Outdoors Inc JOUT
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Johnson Outdoors Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Johnson Outdoors's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $18.34.

Johnson Outdoors's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*18.33872+430.635*0.8)/10.388
=49.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $49.97 mean?
Johnson Outdoors (JOUT) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $49.97 as of Aug. 28, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Johnson Outdoors and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Johnson Outdoors ranks #292 out of 594 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 49.2%.
Is Johnson Outdoors' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Johnson Outdoors' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $49.97. The Travel & Leisure industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.93. Johnson Outdoors' value of $49.97 is 5273.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Johnson Outdoors ranks #292 out of 594 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Johnson Outdoors has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Johnson Outdoors' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to FNKO and JAKK?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Johnson Outdoors ranks #292 out of 594 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Johnson Outdoors in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.93. Johnson Outdoors' value of $49.97 is 5273.1% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Travel & Leisure companies is 0.93, based on 594 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Johnson Outdoors's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $49.97 is 5273.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Johnson Outdoors and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.93 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Johnson Outdoors's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $49.97. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Johnson Outdoors stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Johnson Outdoors (JOUT) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $44.04, compared to a current price of $45.59 — trading 3.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $49.97 and 5273.1% above the Travel & Leisure industry median of 0.93. Johnson Outdoors' overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Johnson Outdoors (JOUT), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $49.97 as of Aug. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Johnson Outdoors (JOUT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Johnson Outdoors stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $45.59 is trading 3.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of $44.04. GuruFocus considers Johnson Outdoors to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for JOUT:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $49.97
  • GF Value™: $44.04 vs. price of $45.59 (3.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 5273.1% above the Travel & Leisure median (#292 of 594)

No single metric tells the full story. See the JOUT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Johnson Outdoors Business Description

Address 555 Main Street, Racine, WI, USA, 53403
Johnson Outdoors Inc is a manufacturer and marketer of branded seasonal, outdoor recreation products used for fishing from a boat, diving, paddling, hiking and camping. The company has four operating segment: Fishing, Camping, Watercraft Recreation, and Diving. It generates maximum revenue from the Fishing segment which produces and markets products under different brands such as Minn Kota electric motors for quiet trolling or primary propulsion, marine battery chargers and shallow water anchors; Humminbird sonar and GPS equipment for fish finding, navigation and marine cartography; and Cannon downriggers for controlled-depth fishing. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from the United States and also has a presence in Europe, Canada, and other regions.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JOUT

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$45.59
Price
$44.04
GF Value