MONOF (MonotaRO Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $3.52 (As of Jul. 27, 2026) — 64% Below Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MONOF MonotaRO Co Ltd MONOF
90 GF Score
Price $12.01
GF Value $16.04
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
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What is MonotaRO Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

MonotaRO Co MONOF +15.48% 90 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $3.52 as of Jul. 27, 2026, which is 64% below its 10-year median of 9.71. GuruFocus rates MONOF with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of $16.04 (Modestly Undervalued). Among 766 Retail - Cyclical companies, MonotaRO Co ranks worse than 91.78% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-07-27), MonotaRO Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $3.52. The stock price of MonotaRO Co is $12.01. Therefore, MonotaRO Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for MonotaRO Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MONOF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.41   Med: 9.71   Max: 13.79
Current: 3.41

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of MonotaRO Co was 13.79. The lowest was 3.41. And the median was 9.71.

MONOF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
91.78% of 766 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.765 vs MONOF: 3.41

MonotaRO Co  (OTCPK:MONOF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

MonotaRO Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=12.01/3.4313624315613
=3.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


MonotaRO Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


MonotaRO Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for MonotaRO Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

MonotaRO Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

MonotaRO Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.81 2.16 2.32 2.82 3.17

MonotaRO Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.17 0.00

MONOF vs AMZN, BABA, PDD: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Internet Retail subindustry, MonotaRO Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MonotaRO Co Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, MonotaRO Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MonotaRO Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


MONOF
90GF Score
MonotaRO Co Ltd MONOF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

MonotaRO Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get MonotaRO Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $83.06.

MonotaRO Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.95911409947*83.062857142857+785.813*0.8)/496.908
=3.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $3.52 mean?
MonotaRO Co (MONOF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $3.52 as of Jul. 27, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on MonotaRO Co and its competitors. This is 64% below median its historical median of 9.71. Over the past decade, MonotaRO Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 3.41 to 13.79. According to the industry distribution chart, MonotaRO Co ranks #703 out of 766 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 91.8%.
Is MonotaRO Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
MonotaRO Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $3.52 is 64% below median its 10-year median of 9.71. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 3.41 to a high of 13.79. The Retail - Cyclical industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.77. MonotaRO Co's value of $3.52 is 360.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, MonotaRO Co ranks #703 out of 766 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, MonotaRO Co has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does MonotaRO Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to AMZN and BABA?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, MonotaRO Co ranks #703 out of 766 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places MonotaRO Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.77. MonotaRO Co's value of $3.52 is 360.1% above this benchmark. Historically, MonotaRO Co's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 3.41 to 13.79 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 9.71 vs. the industry median of 0.77, MonotaRO Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Retail - Cyclical companies is 0.77, based on 766 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. MonotaRO Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $3.52 is 360.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on MonotaRO Co and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.77 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. MonotaRO Co's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $3.52, which is 64% below median its own 10-year median of 9.71. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is MonotaRO Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MonotaRO Co (MONOF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $16.04, compared to a current price of $12.01 — trading 25.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $3.52, which is 64% below median its 10-year median of 9.71 and 360.1% above the Retail - Cyclical industry median of 0.77. MonotaRO Co's overall GF Score™ is 90/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For MonotaRO Co (MONOF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $3.52 as of Jul. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is MonotaRO Co (MONOF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MonotaRO Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $12.01 is trading 25.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of $16.04. GuruFocus considers MonotaRO Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MONOF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $3.52 (64% below median its 10-year median of 9.71)
  • GF Value™: $16.04 vs. price of $12.01 (25.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100
  • Industry Position: 360.1% above the Retail - Cyclical median (#703 of 766)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MONOF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


MonotaRO Co Business Description

Address 2-2-3 Umeda, JP Tower Osaka, 22nd Floor, Kita-ku, Osaka-shi, Osaka, JPN, 530-0001
MonotaRO Co is a Japanese e-commerce company selling industrial supply products.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MONOF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$12.01
Price
$16.04
GF Value