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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
The historical rank and industry rank for Northern Star Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
NESRF'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.76 Med: 1.34 Max: 3.14
Current: 1.73
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Northern Star Resources was 3.14. The lowest was 0.76. And the median was 1.34.
NESRF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 60.98% of 656
companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 2.41
vs NESRF: 1.73
Northern Star Resources (OTCPK:NESRF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Northern Star Resources's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
16.89
/
9.4696809199402
=
1.78
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Northern Star Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Northern Star Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Northern Star Resources's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Northern Star Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart
NESRF vs NEM, AU: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Gold subindustry, Northern Star Resources's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Northern Star Resources Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Metals & Mining Industry
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Northern Star Resources's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Northern Star Resources's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Northern Star Resources Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $9.76 mean?
Northern Star Resources (NESRF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $9.76 as of Sep. 05, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Northern Star Resources and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Northern Star Resources ranks #256 out of 656 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 39%.
Is Northern Star Resources' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Northern Star Resources' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $9.76. The Metals & Mining industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.41. Northern Star Resources' value of $9.76 is 305% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Northern Star Resources ranks #256 out of 656 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Northern Star Resources has a GF Score™ of 94/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Northern Star Resources' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to NEM and AU?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Northern Star Resources ranks #256 out of 656 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Northern Star Resources in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.41. Northern Star Resources' value of $9.76 is 305% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Metals & Mining companies is 2.41, based on 656 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Northern Star Resources's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $9.76 is 305% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Northern Star Resources and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 2.41 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Northern Star Resources's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $9.76. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Northern Star Resources stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Northern Star Resources (NESRF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $15.07, compared to a current price of $16.89 — trading 12.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $9.76 and 305% above the Metals & Mining industry median of 2.41. Northern Star Resources' overall GF Score™ is 94/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Northern Star Resources (NESRF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $9.76 as of Sep. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Northern Star Resources (NESRF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Northern Star Resources stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $16.89 is trading 12.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $15.07.
GuruFocus considers Northern Star Resources to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for NESRF:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $9.76
GF Value™: $15.07 vs. price of $16.89 (12.1% above fair value)
Industry Position: 305% above the Metals & Mining median (#256 of 656)
No single metric tells the full story. See the NESRF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Northern Star is an Australia-based midtier global gold miner that sold around 1.6 million ounces of gold in fiscal 2025 from its three wholly owned mining operations in Australia and Alaska. Its operations are the result of significant merger and acquisition activity including 14 acquisitions and four asset sales since 2010. It had roughly a decade of reserves at the end of fiscal 2025.
94GF Score
Get the complete analysis for NESRF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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