VRL Logistics (NSE:VRLLOG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ₹179.87 (As of Aug. 25, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

NSE:VRLLOG VRL Logistics Ltd NSE:VRLLOG
81 GF Score
Price ₹288.45
GF Value ₹305.23
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is VRL Logistics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

VRL Logistics NSE:VRLLOG -0.10% 81 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₹179.87 as of Aug. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates NSE:VRLLOG with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of ₹305.23 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 728 Transportation companies, VRL Logistics ranks worse than 74.73% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-25), VRL Logistics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₹179.87. The stock price of VRL Logistics is ₹288.45. Therefore, VRL Logistics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for VRL Logistics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NSE:VRLLOG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.87   Med: 1.92   Max: 2.81
Current: 1.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of VRL Logistics was 2.81. The lowest was 0.87. And the median was 1.92.

NSE:VRLLOG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
74.73% of 728 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.86 vs NSE:VRLLOG: 1.60

VRL Logistics  (NSE:VRLLOG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

VRL Logistics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=288.45/179.86827278553
=1.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


VRL Logistics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


VRL Logistics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for VRL Logistics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

VRL Logistics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

VRL Logistics Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 108.03 112.73 117.23 127.36 179.87

VRL Logistics Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 179.87 0.00

NSE:VRLLOG vs ODFL, XPO, KNX: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Trucking subindustry, VRL Logistics's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


VRL Logistics Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, VRL Logistics's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where VRL Logistics's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


NSE:VRLLOG
81GF Score
VRL Logistics Ltd NSE:VRLLOG
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

VRL Logistics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get VRL Logistics's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ₹1,502.16.

VRL Logistics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*1502.1608571429+11424.4*0.8)/174.937
=179.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ₹179.87 mean?
VRL Logistics (NSE:VRLLOG) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ₹179.87 as of Aug. 25, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on VRL Logistics and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, VRL Logistics ranks #544 out of 728 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 74.7%.
Is VRL Logistics' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
VRL Logistics' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₹179.87. Based on the distribution chart, VRL Logistics ranks #544 out of 728 companies in the Transportation industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, VRL Logistics has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does VRL Logistics' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to ODFL and XPO?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, VRL Logistics ranks #544 out of 728 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places VRL Logistics in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.86. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Transportation company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Transportation companies is 0.86, based on 728 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on VRL Logistics and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.86 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. VRL Logistics's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₹179.87. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is VRL Logistics stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, VRL Logistics (NSE:VRLLOG) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₹305.23, compared to a current price of ₹288.45 — trading 5.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₹179.87. VRL Logistics' overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For VRL Logistics (NSE:VRLLOG), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₹179.87 as of Aug. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is VRL Logistics (NSE:VRLLOG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, VRL Logistics stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₹288.45 is trading 5.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₹305.23. GuruFocus considers VRL Logistics to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for NSE:VRLLOG:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ₹179.87
  • GF Value™: ₹305.23 vs. price of ₹288.45 (5.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NSE:VRLLOG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


VRL Logistics Business Description

Other Exchanges 539118:India
Address Circuit House Road, Giriraj Annexe, Hubballi, KA, IND, 580029
VRL Logistics Ltd is engaged in the business of logistics services. The company is engaged in the Goods Transport Business segment. The company offers services for the transportation of goods across India using a range of road transportation solutions to its customers, including less than full truck load and full truck load. The company provides courier services for the transportation of small parcels and documents using a range of multi-modal solutions.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NSE:VRLLOG

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₹288.45
Price
₹305.23
GF Value