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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
The historical rank and industry rank for Sterling Infrastructure's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
STRL'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.65 Med: 1.44 Max: 20.11
Current: 2.65
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Sterling Infrastructure was 20.11. The lowest was 0.65. And the median was 1.44.
STRL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 81.44% of 1223
companies
in the Construction industry
Industry Median: 0.96
vs STRL: 2.65
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Sterling Infrastructure's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
457.60
/
172.96120361366
=
2.65
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Sterling Infrastructure Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Sterling Infrastructure Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Sterling Infrastructure's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
STRL vs IESC, APG, J: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Sterling Infrastructure's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Sterling Infrastructure Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Construction Industry
For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Sterling Infrastructure's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Sterling Infrastructure's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $172.96 mean?
Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $172.96 as of Sep. 03, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Sterling Infrastructure and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Sterling Infrastructure ranks #996 out of 1223 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 81.4%.
Is Sterling Infrastructure's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Sterling Infrastructure's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $172.96. The Construction industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.96. Sterling Infrastructure's value of $172.96 is 17916.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Sterling Infrastructure ranks #996 out of 1223 companies in the Construction industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Sterling Infrastructure has a GF Score™ of 91/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Sterling Infrastructure's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to IESC and APG?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, Sterling Infrastructure ranks #996 out of 1223 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Sterling Infrastructure in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.96. Sterling Infrastructure's value of $172.96 is 17916.7% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Construction company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Construction companies is 0.96, based on 1,223 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Sterling Infrastructure's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $172.96 is 17916.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Sterling Infrastructure and its competitors. For the Construction industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.96 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Sterling Infrastructure's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $172.96. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Sterling Infrastructure stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $287.96, compared to a current price of $457.60 — trading 58.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $172.96 and 17916.7% above the Construction industry median of 0.96. Sterling Infrastructure's overall GF Score™ is 91/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Sterling Infrastructure (STRL), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $172.96 as of Sep. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sterling Infrastructure stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $457.60 is trading 58.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of $287.96.
GuruFocus considers Sterling Infrastructure to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for STRL:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $172.96
GF Value™: $287.96 vs. price of $457.60 (58.9% above fair value)
Industry Position: 17916.7% above the Construction median (#996 of 1223)
No single metric tells the full story. See the STRL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Sterling Infrastructure Inc operates through subsidiaries within three segments: E-Infrastructure, Transportation, and Building Solutions in the United States, mainly across the Southern, Northeastern, Mid-Atlantic, and Rocky Mountain regions and the Pacific Islands. E-Infrastructure Solutions generates maximum revenue and provides site development and mission-critical electrical services for data centers, manufacturing, distribution centers, warehousing, and power generation. Transportation Solutions includes infrastructure and rehabilitation projects for highways, airports, ports, rail, and storm drainage systems. Building Solutions includes residential and commercial concrete foundations, parking structures, plumbing services, and surveys for new single-family residential builds.
91GF Score
Get the complete analysis for STRL
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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