SWRBF (Swire Pacific) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $1.35 (As of Jul. 20, 2026) — 382% Above Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

SWRBF Swire Pacific Ltd SWRBF
67 GF Score
Price $1.57
GF Value $0.51
! 10 Warning Signs
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What is Swire Pacific Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Swire Pacific SWRBF 67 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.35 as of Jul. 20, 2026, which is 382% above its 10-year median of 0.28. GuruFocus rates SWRBF with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.51. The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review. Among 423 Conglomerates companies, Swire Pacific ranks worse than 63.83% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-07-20), Swire Pacific's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.35. The stock price of Swire Pacific is $1.574. Therefore, Swire Pacific's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Swire Pacific's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SWRBF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.08   Med: 0.28   Max: 1.17
Current: 1.17

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Swire Pacific was 1.17. The lowest was 0.08. And the median was 0.28.

SWRBF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
63.83% of 423 companies
in the Conglomerates industry
Industry Median: 0.84 vs SWRBF: 1.17

Swire Pacific  (OTCPK:SWRBF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Swire Pacific's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.574/9.6542956526151
=0.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Swire Pacific Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Swire Pacific Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Swire Pacific's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Swire Pacific Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Swire Pacific Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.11 3.41 3.41 1.48 1.74

Swire Pacific Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.41 0.00 1.48 0.00 1.74

SWRBF vs HON, MMM: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Swire Pacific's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Swire Pacific Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Swire Pacific's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Swire Pacific's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


SWRBF
67GF Score
Swire Pacific Ltd SWRBF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Swire Pacific Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Swire Pacific's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $875.60.

Swire Pacific's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*875.60257142857+33361.222*0.8)/3627.921
=9.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.35 mean?
Swire Pacific (SWRBF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.35 as of Jul. 20, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Swire Pacific and its competitors. This is 382% above median its historical median of 0.28. Over the past decade, Swire Pacific's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.08 to 1.17. According to the industry distribution chart, Swire Pacific ranks #270 out of 423 companies in the Conglomerates industry, placing it in the top 63.8%.
Is Swire Pacific's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Swire Pacific's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.35 is 382% above median its 10-year median of 0.28. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.08 to a high of 1.17. The Conglomerates industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.84. Swire Pacific's value of $1.35 is 60.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Swire Pacific ranks #270 out of 423 companies in the Conglomerates industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Swire Pacific has a GF Score™ of 67/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Swire Pacific's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to HON and MMM?
According to the Conglomerates industry distribution chart, Swire Pacific ranks #270 out of 423 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Swire Pacific in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.84. Swire Pacific's value of $1.35 is 60.7% above this benchmark. Historically, Swire Pacific's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.08 to 1.17 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.28 vs. the industry median of 0.84, Swire Pacific has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Conglomerates company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Conglomerates companies is 0.84, based on 423 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Swire Pacific's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.35 is 60.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Swire Pacific and its competitors. For the Conglomerates industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.84 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Swire Pacific's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.35, which is 382% above median its own 10-year median of 0.28. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Swire Pacific stock overvalued right now?
Swire Pacific (SWRBF) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $1.35. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.51, compared to a current price of $1.57 — trading 208.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.35, which is 382% above median its 10-year median of 0.28 and 60.7% above the Conglomerates industry median of 0.84. Swire Pacific's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Swire Pacific (SWRBF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.35 as of Jul. 20, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Swire Pacific (SWRBF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Swire Pacific stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $1.57 is trading 208.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $0.51.

Key valuation signals for SWRBF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $1.35 (382% above median its 10-year median of 0.28)
  • GF Value™: $0.51 vs. price of $1.57 (208.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 10 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 60.7% above the Conglomerates median (#270 of 423)

No single metric tells the full story. See the SWRBF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Swire Pacific Business Description

Address 88 Queensway, GPO Box 1, 33rd Floor, One Pacific Place, Hong Kong, HKG
Swire Pacific is a Hong Kong-based conglomerate with interests in property, aviation, beverage, trading, and industrials. The property division, an 82% stake in Swire Properties, contributes more than half of the group's operating profit. The beverage division is one of two Coca-Cola bottlers in mainland China and also a bottler in Hong Kong, Taiwan, Thailand, Laos, Vietnam, and Cambodia. The aviation division consists of Haeco, an aircraft engineering company, and a 45% stake in Cathay Pacific. John Swire & Sons, the parent company, holds a 64% stake in Swire Pacific but has 71% of the voting rights through a dual-class share structure.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SWRBF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1.57
Price
$0.51
GF Value