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Shin Shin Natural Gas Co (TPE:9918) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : NT$26.20 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-26), Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is NT$26.20. The stock price of Shin Shin Natural Gas Co is NT$41.75. Therefore, Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TPE:9918' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.09   Med: 1.34   Max: 1.6
Current: 1.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Shin Shin Natural Gas Co was 1.60. The lowest was 1.09. And the median was 1.34.

TPE:9918's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
65.59% of 372 companies
in the Utilities - Regulated industry
Industry Median: 1.085 vs TPE:9918: 1.60

Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.69 28.96 29.82 29.49 29.29

Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 29.71 28.14 29.06 29.29 26.20

Competitive Comparison of Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = NT$231.87.

Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*231.87088+3075.062*0.8)/178.127
=26.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Shin Shin Natural Gas Co  (TPE:9918) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=41.75/26.20344979967
=1.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Shin Shin Natural Gas Co (TPE:9918) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 100, Section 1, Yonghe Road, Yonghe District, Taipei, TWN
Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Ltd is a Taiwan-based company engaged in the transmission of combustible natural gas by pipeline for non-industrial fuel supply, the installation of gas pipeline construction, and other related natural gas industry and affiliated businesses. The company mainly operates in two segments which are the Gas sales segment mainly responsible for the supply of natural gas to customers through pipelines and the Installation segment mainly responsible for the installation of natural gas transmission pipelines and gas safety equipment.

Shin Shin Natural Gas Co (TPE:9918) Headlines

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