Shin Shin Natural Gas Co (TPE:9918) Beneish M-Score: -2.86 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


TPE:9918 Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Ltd TPE:9918
84 GF Score
Price NT$43.20
GF Value NT$42.87
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Beneish M-Score?

Shin Shin Natural Gas Co TPE:9918 -0.35% 84 Beneish M-Score is -2.86 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates TPE:9918 with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of NT$42.87 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 486 Utilities - Regulated companies, Shin Shin Natural Gas Co ranks better than 80.86% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.86 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TPE:9918' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.52   Med: -2.79   Max: -2.22
Current: -2.86

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Shin Shin Natural Gas Co was -2.22. The lowest was -3.52. And the median was -2.79.


Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.74 -3.52 -2.83 -2.70 -2.86

Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.70 -2.29 -3.11 -2.82 -2.86

TPE:9918 vs ATO, NI, UGI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TPE:9918
84GF Score
Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Ltd TPE:9918
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Shin Shin Natural Gas Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8238+0.528 * 0.995+0.404 * 1.0603+0.892 * 1.0296+0.115 * 0.9604
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0121+4.679 * -0.062808-0.327 * 0.8853
=-2.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was NT$177 Mil.
Revenue was 449.701 + 396.672 + 509.897 + 695.401 = NT$2,052 Mil.
Gross Profit was 106.725 + 113.144 + 160.868 + 231.318 = NT$612 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$2,041 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$5,864 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$3,438 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$291 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$282 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$1,033 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$28 Mil.
Net Income was 53.906 + 85.903 + 49.818 + 96.218 = NT$286 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = NT$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 88.545 + 85.406 + 348.954 + 131.228 = NT$654 Mil.
Total Receivables was NT$208 Mil.
Revenue was 467.427 + 378.379 + 473.13 + 673.79 = NT$1,993 Mil.
Gross Profit was 124.366 + 102.531 + 147.598 + 217.025 = NT$592 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$2,279 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$5,973 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$3,325 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$270 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$270 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$1,180 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$41 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(176.545 / 2051.671) / (208.144 / 1992.726)
=0.086049 / 0.104452
=0.8238

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(591.52 / 1992.726) / (612.055 / 2051.671)
=0.29684 / 0.29832
=0.995

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2040.522 + 3438.361) / 5863.758) / (1 - (2278.706 + 3324.952) / 5973.424)
=0.065636 / 0.061902
=1.0603

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2051.671 / 1992.726
=1.0296

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(269.656 / (269.656 + 3324.952)) / (291.335 / (291.335 + 3438.361))
=0.075017 / 0.078112
=0.9604

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(281.529 / 2051.671) / (270.176 / 1992.726)
=0.137219 / 0.135581
=1.0121

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((27.892 + 1032.526) / 5863.758) / ((40.512 + 1179.69) / 5973.424)
=0.180843 / 0.204272
=0.8853

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(285.845 - 0 - 654.133) / 5863.758
=-0.062808

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Shin Shin Natural Gas Co has a M-score of -2.86 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.86 mean?
Shin Shin Natural Gas Co (TPE:9918) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.86 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Shin Shin Natural Gas Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Shin Shin Natural Gas Co ranks #93 out of 486 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 19.1%.
Is Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.86. Based on the distribution chart, Shin Shin Natural Gas Co ranks #93 out of 486 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Shin Shin Natural Gas Co has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's Beneish M-Score compare to ATO and NI?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, Shin Shin Natural Gas Co ranks #93 out of 486 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Shin Shin Natural Gas Co in the top 19% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Shin Shin Natural Gas Co and its competitors. Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.86. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Shin Shin Natural Gas Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shin Shin Natural Gas Co (TPE:9918) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$42.87, compared to a current price of NT$43.20 — trading 0.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.86. Shin Shin Natural Gas Co's overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Shin Shin Natural Gas Co (TPE:9918), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.86 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Shin Shin Natural Gas Co (TPE:9918) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shin Shin Natural Gas Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of NT$43.20 is trading 0.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of NT$42.87. GuruFocus considers Shin Shin Natural Gas Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TPE:9918:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.86
  • GF Value™: NT$42.87 vs. price of NT$43.20 (0.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TPE:9918 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Business Description

Address No. 100, Section 1, Yonghe Road, Yonghe District, Taipei, TWN
Shin Shin Natural Gas Co Ltd is a Taiwan-based company engaged in the transmission of combustible natural gas by pipeline for non-industrial fuel supply, the installation of gas pipeline construction, and other related natural gas industry and affiliated businesses. The company mainly operates in two segments which are the Gas sales segment mainly responsible for the supply of natural gas to customers through pipelines and the Installation segment mainly responsible for the installation of natural gas transmission pipelines and gas safety equipment.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TPE:9918

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NT$43.20
Price
NT$42.87
GF Value