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Gumi (TSE:3903) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : 円-279.38 (As of Jun. 18, 2024)


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What is Gumi Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-18), Gumi's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 円-279.38. The stock price of Gumi is 円321.00. Therefore, Gumi's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Gumi's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Gumi was 14.18. The lowest was 8.35. And the median was 8.70.

TSE:3903's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Interactive Media industry.
Industry Median: 1.17
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Gumi Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Gumi's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Gumi Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Gumi Annual Data
Trend Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23 Apr24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 48.02 153.92 -219.16 84.09 -279.38

Gumi Quarterly Data
Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 84.09 - - - -279.38

Competitive Comparison of Gumi's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Electronic Gaming & Multimedia subindustry, Gumi's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gumi's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Gumi's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gumi's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Gumi Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Gumi's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = 円-2,189.38.

Gumi's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Apr24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-2189.384+12242.1*0.8)/39.552
=-279.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Gumi  (TSE:3903) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Gumi's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=321.00/-279.37968898108
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Gumi Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Gumi (TSE:3903) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Nishi-Shinjuku 4-34-7, 3rd floor, Sumitomo Fudosan Nishi-Shinjuku Building No. 5, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 160-0023
Gumi Inc is an entertainment company, which develops, operates, and distributes online games for smartphones and tablets. It provides native application services, game contents can be downloaded from apple store without browser; browser game services, game can be played on the mobile terminal browser, as well as publishing services, in which the company performs localization of game content developed by third parties and then sell them through its various sales channels. In addition, the firm offers VR (Virtual Reality) services.

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