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NetApp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $67.93 (As of Today)
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As of today (2022-01-25), NetApp's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $67.93.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

NetApp's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for NetApp is -27.37%.

The historical rank and industry rank for NetApp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of NetApp was 16.36. The lowest was 0.51. And the median was 0.84.


NetApp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for NetApp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NetApp Annual Data
Trend Apr12 Apr13 Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 4.07 87.53 57.11 -

NetApp Quarterly Data
Jan17 Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 49.20 38.97 - - -

NetApp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 8%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 6.60%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 6.60% which is less than 20% and higher than 5% => Growth Rate: 6.60%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $4.120.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the Earnings Per Share without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

NetApp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.066)/(1+0.08) = 0.98703703703704
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.08) = 0.96296296296296

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=4.120*16.4876
=67.93

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(67.93-86.52)/67.93
=-27.37 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NetApp  (NAS:NTAP) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


NetApp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of NetApp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


NetApp Business Description

NetApp logo
Industry
Technology » Hardware NAICS : 334112 SIC : 3572
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1395 Crossman Avenue, Sunnyvale, CA, USA, 94089
NetApp is a leading provider of enterprise data management and storage solutions. The company's three operating business units are products, software maintenance, and hardware maintenance. NetApp transitioned from a data center storage firm to a company with software data management solutions for multicloud environments. The California-headquartered company sells globally and has approximately 10,000 employees.
Executives
Allen Scott R. officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer 11690 N.W. 105TH STREET MIAMI FL 33178
Anderson Brad officer: EVP, SSSBU and CIBU ONE DELL WAY ROUND ROCK TX 78682
Hill Kathryn director 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER 250 GREENWICH STREET NEW YORK NY 10007
Ahuja Deepak director C/O TESLA MOTORS, INC. 3500 DEER CREEK ROAD PALO ALTO CA 94304
Schenkel Scott F. director C/O EBAY INC. 2025 HAMILTON AVE. SAN JOSE CA 95125
Kerr Deborah director 901 MARQUETTE AVENUE SUITE 3200 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402
Nevens Thomas Michael director C/O BORLAND SOFTWARE CORPORATION 20450 STEVENS CREEK BLVD, SUITE 800 CUPERTINO CA 95014
Shaheen George T director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: SHAHEEN GEORGE T a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Held Gerald director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: HELD GERALD a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Cernuda Cesar officer: President 1395 CROSSMAN AVENUE SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Berry Michael J officer: EVP Finance & Operations, CFO C/O INFORMATICA CORPORATION 2100 SEAPORT BOULEVARD REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Fawcett Matthew K officer: SVP, GC & Secretary 495 EAST JAVA DRIVE SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Kurian George director, officer: CEO C/O NETAPP 495 E. JAVA DRIVE SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Pasek Ronald J officer: EVP Finance & Operations, CFO 101 INNOVATION DRIVE SAN JOSE CA 95134
Richard Henri P officer: EVP, Go To Market FREESCALE SEMICONDUCTOR, INC. 2680 ZANKER RD, SUITE 200 SAN JOSE CA 95134

NetApp Headlines

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