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Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $43.66 (As of Today)
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As of today (2021-12-09), Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $43.66.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund is 62.64%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:


Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
- - - - -

Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 8%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $2.958.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the Earnings Per Share without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.08) = 0.97222222222222
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.08) = 0.96296296296296

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=2.958*14.7595
=43.66

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(43.66-16.31)/43.66
=62.64 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund  (NYSE:BSL) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund Business Description

Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund logo
Industry
Financial Services » Asset Management NAICS : 523991 SIC : 6733
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
345 Park Avenue, 31st Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10154
Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund is a diversified, closed-end management investment company. Its primary investment objective is to seek high current income, with a secondary objective to seek preservation of capital, consistent with its primary goal of high current income. The fund invests at least 80% of its Managed Assets in senior, secured floating rate loans. It also invests in second-lien loans and high yield bonds and employs financial leverage, which may increase the risk to the Fund.
Executives
Post Robert other: Portfolio Manager C/O GSO/BLACKSTONE DEBT FUNDS MGMT, LLC 345 PARK AVE 31ST FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10154
Busch Robert W officer: CFO & Treasurer 345 PARK AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10154
Zable Robert officer: Executive Vice President, other: Asst. Secretary & PM 1290 BROADWAY SUITE 1100 DENVER CO 80203
Mckemie Gordon other: Portfolio Manager C/O GSO CAPITAL PARTNERS LP 345 PARK AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10154
Smith Daniel Harlan Jr. officer: CEO, President, other: Trustee, Chairman 1290 BROADWAY SUITE 1100 DENVER CO 80203
Lee-silvestri Dohyun (doris) officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O GSO CAPITAL PARTNERS LP 345 PARK AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10154
Lee Jane officer: Public Relations Officer 1290 BROADWAY SUITE 1100 CO 80203
Beeney Marisa Janel officer: CCO, Chief Legal Counsel, Sec. 1290 BROADWAY, SUITE 1100 DENVER CO 80203
Schpero Gary S other: Trustee 1290 BROADWAY, SUITE 1100 DENVER CO 80203
Shaiman Lee Michael officer: Exec. VP, Assistant Secretary 1290 BROADWAY SUITE 1100 DENVER CO 80203
Metropolitan Life Insurance Co/ny 10 percent owner 200 PARK AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10166
Holland Michael F other: Trustee PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: HOLLAND MICHAEL F a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Rosenberg Eric officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O GSO CAPITAL PARTNERS LP 280 PARK AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10017
Dalelio Edward H other: Trustee 1000 BOARDWALK AT VIRGINIA AVENUE ATLANTIC CITY NJ 08401
Paolillo Douglas other: Mng. Dir.of Investment Advisor C/O GSO BLACKSTONE DEBT FUNDS MGMT LLC 280 PARK AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10017
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