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CubeSmart Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $14.50 (As of Today)
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As of today (2022-08-12), CubeSmart's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $14.50.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

CubeSmart's Predictability Rank is 5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for CubeSmart is -241.17%.

The historical rank and industry rank for CubeSmart's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CUBE' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.45   Med: 3.01   Max: 3.66
Current: 3.41

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of CubeSmart was 3.66. The lowest was 2.45. And the median was 3.01.

CUBE's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked worse than
89.66% of 58 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 1.21 vs CUBE: 3.41

CubeSmart Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for CubeSmart's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CubeSmart Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 13.71 16.09

CubeSmart Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.28 16.09 16.09 14.23 14.50

CubeSmart Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $1.070.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the Earnings Per Share without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

CubeSmart's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.09) = 0.96330275229358
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=1.070*13.5514
=14.50

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(14.5-49.47)/14.5
=-241.17 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


CubeSmart  (NYSE:CUBE) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


CubeSmart Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of CubeSmart's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


CubeSmart Business Description

CubeSmart logo
Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » CubeSmart (NYSE:CUBE) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5 Old Lancaster Road, Malvern, PA, USA, 19355
CubeSmart is a real estate investment trust that acquires, owns, and manages self-storage facilities throughout the United States. The company's real estate portfolio is composed of buildings with numerous enclosed storage areas for both residential and commercial customers to rent mainly on a month-by-month basis. Most of CubeSmart's facilities are located in Florida, Texas, California, New York, and Illinois. Cumulatively, these states account for both the majority of the square footage in the company's real estate portfolio and the majority of its revenue. CubeSmart derives nearly all of its revenue from rental income from tenants utilizing its storage facilities.
Executives
Lynch Jair K director 5 OLD LANCASTER RD MALVERN PA 19355
Keaton Joel D officer: Sr VP of Operations 5 OLD LANCASTER ROAD MALVERN PA 19355
Dowling Dororthy director 5 OLD LANCASTER ROAD MALVERN PA 19355
Perry Jonathan L officer: SVP and CIO 5 OLD LANCASTER ROAD MALVERN PA 19355
Ratnersalzberg Deborah director 301 WATER ST SE SUITE 201 WASHINGTON DC 20003
Fain John W director 1000 SEMMES AVE RICHMOND VA 23224
Rogatz Jeffrey F director
Blatz Robert G officer: SR VP of Operations 29399 US HWY STE 320 CLEARWATER FL 33761
Bussani Piero director 460 EAST SWEDESFORD ROAD SUITE 3000 WAYNE PA 19087
Remondi John F director 300 CONTINENTAL DRIVE NEWARK DE 19713
Foster Jeffrey P officer: Sr. VP - Chief Legal Officer 460 EAST SWEDESFORD ROAD SUITE 3000 WAYNE PA 19087
Amsdell & Amsdell other: Member of 13d group owning 10% 20445 EMERALD PARKWAY DRIVE SW SUITE 220 CLEVELAND OH 44135
Amsdell Holdings I Inc. other: Member of 13d group owning 10% 20445 EMERALD PARKWAY DRIVE SW SUITE 220 CLEVELAND OH 44135
Amsdell Real Estate Trust Dated 10/3/89 other: Member of 13d group owning 10% 20445 EMERALD PARKWAY DRIVE SW SUITE 220 CLEVELAND OH 44135
Andrews Charles Elliott director C/O H&R BLOCK ONE H&R BLOCK WAY KANSAS CITY MO 64105

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