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WEC Energy Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $69.16 (As of Today)
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As of today (2021-10-18), WEC Energy Group's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $69.16.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

WEC Energy Group's Predictability Rank is 2.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for WEC Energy Group is -28.79%.

The historical rank and industry rank for WEC Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

NYSE:WEC' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.6   Med: 0.95   Max: 1.46
Current: 1.28

0.6
1.46

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of WEC Energy Group was 1.46. The lowest was 0.60. And the median was 0.95.

NYSE:WEC's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked lower than
99.99% of the 20 Companies
in the Utilities - Regulated industry.

( Industry Median: 1.45 vs. NYSE:WEC: 1.28 )

WEC Energy Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for WEC Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

WEC Energy Group Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 50.04 67.44 57.60 64.16 70.42

WEC Energy Group Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 72.76 74.73 70.42 67.30 69.16

WEC Energy Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 8%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 7.00%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 7.00% which is less than 20% and higher than 5% => Growth Rate: 7.00%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $4.080.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the Earnings Per Share without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

WEC Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.07)/(1+0.08) = 0.99074074074074
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.08) = 0.96296296296296

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=4.080*16.952
=69.16

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(69.16-89.069)/69.16
=-28.79 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


WEC Energy Group  (NYSE:WEC) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


WEC Energy Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of WEC Energy Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


WEC Energy Group Business Description

WEC Energy Group logo
Industry
Utilities » Utilities - Regulated NAICS : 221118 SIC : 4931
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
231 West Michigan Street, P.O. Box 1331, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53201
WEC Energy Group's electric and gas utility businesses serve electric and gas customers in its Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin service territories. The company also owns a 60% stake in American Transmission Co. WEC's asset mix is approximately 51% electric generation and distribution, 34% gas distribution, 13% electric transmission, and 2% unregulated renewable generation.
Executives
Reese Anthony officer: Vice President and Treasurer 231 WEST MICHIGAN STREET MILWAUKEE WI 53203
Matthews Charles R officer: President & CEO - PGL/NSG 231 W. MICHIGAN STREET MILWAUKEE WI 53203
Kuester Frederick D officer: Sr. Executive Vice Pres. 231 W. MICHIGAN STREET MILWAUKEE WI 53203
Lauber Scott J officer: Sr. EVP and COO 231 W. MICHIGAN STREET MILWAUKEE WI 53203
Liu Xia officer: EVP and CFO ONE ENERGY PLACE PENSACOLA FL 32520
Guc William J officer: Vice President & Controller 130 EAST RANDOLPH DRIVE CHICAGO IL 60601
Green Maria C director C/O INGERSOLL-RAND COMPANY 800-E BEATY STREET DAVIDSON NC 28036
Kelsey Margaret C officer: Executive VP & General Counsel PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: KELSEY MARGARET C a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Krueger Daniel officer: EVP WEC Infrastructure 231 W. MICHIGAN STREET MILWAUKEE WI 53203
Metcalfe Tom officer: Pres. WI Utilities 231 W. MICHIGAN STREET MILWAUKEE WI 53203
Garvin Robert M officer: Exec Vice President - Ext Affs 231 W. MICHIGAN STREET MILWAUKEE WI 53203
Klappa Gale E director, officer: Executive Chairman 231 W. MICHIGAN STREET MILWAUKEE WI 53203
Cunningham Danny L director C/O ACTUANT CORPORATION N86 W12500 WESTBROOK CROSSING MENOMONEE FALLS WI 53051
Stanek Mary Ellen director 14730 WEST JUNEAU BOULEVARD ELM GROVE WI 53122
Culver Curt S director 250 E KILBOURN AVE MILWAUKEE WI 53202

WEC Energy Group Headlines

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