Digital Turbine (NAS:APPS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

: $10.90 (As of Today)

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As of today (2023-06-04), Digital Turbine's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $10.90.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Digital Turbine's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Digital Turbine is 13.76%.

The industry rank for Digital Turbine's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

APPS's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Software industry.
Industry Median: 1.15
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Digital Turbine Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Digital Turbine's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Digital Turbine Annual Data

Trend

Mar14

Mar15

Mar16

Mar17

Mar18

Mar19

Mar20

Mar21

Mar22

Mar23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Digital Turbine Quarterly Data
	Jun18	Sep18	Dec18	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)																-	-	-	-	-

Digital Turbine Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average free cash flow growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.873.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Digital Turbine's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	=	Free Cash Flow per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.1) = 0.95454545454545
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.1) = 0.94545454545455

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Free Cash Flow per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Free Cash Flow per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

0.873

12.485

10.90

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
	=	(10.9	-	9.40)	/	10.9
	=	13.76 %

Digital Turbine (NAS:APPS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Digital Turbine Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Digital Turbine (NAS:APPS) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Digital Turbine Inc (NAS:APPS) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

4MD:Germany

Address

110 San Antonio Street, Suite 160, Austin, TX, USA, 78701

Website

https://www.digitalturbine.com

Digital Turbine Inc is an independent mobile growth platform. It offers end-to-end products and solutions to all participants in the mobile application ecosystem, enabling brand discovery and advertising, user acquisition and engagement, and operational efficiency for advertisers. Its operating segments are On Device Media (ODM); In App Media-AdColony; and In App Media-Fyber. The company derives key revenue from the ODM segment by providing solutions to all participants in the mobile application ecosystem who want to connect with end users and consumers who hold the device, including mobile carriers and device original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) that participate in the app economy, app publishers and developers, and brands and advertising agencies. It has a global business presence.

Executives

Senthilkumaran Kanagaratnam	officer: Chief Technology Officer	5717 LA SEYNE PLACE, SAN JOSE CA 95138
Matthew Gillis	officer: President	2400 BOSTON STREET, SUITE 201, BALTIMORE MD 21224
Mary Spilman	director	C/O CRITEO LEGAL DEPT., 387 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10016
Michael Benjamin Miller	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	360 WEST FOREST GROVE ROAD, LUCAS TX 75002
Holyce Hess Groos	director	58 CHRISTIANA COURT, LAKE GEORGE NY 12845
Christine Collins	officer: CTO	111 NUECES STREET, AUSTIN TX 78701
Michelle M Sterling	director	5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Roy H Chestnutt	director	1095 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
J. Barrett Garrison	officer: EVP, CFO	1300 GUADALUPE STREET, SUITE 302, AUSTIN TX 78701
David Wesch	officer: Acting CAO	1300 GUADALUPE STREET, SUITE 302, AUSTIN TX 78701
Mohan S Gyani	director	7277 164TH AVE NE, BLDG1, REDMOND WA 98052
Judson Bowman	director	1300 GUADALUPE STREET, SUITE 302, AUSTIN TX 78701
Craig I Forman	director	1375 PEACHTREE STREET, ATLANTA GA 30309
James Alejandro	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	2811 CAHUENGA BOULEVARD WEST, LOS ANGELES CA 90068
Kirstie Elizabeth Brown	officer: Head, Global Fin. Obligations	2811 CAHUENGA BOULEVARD WEST, LOS ANGELES CA 90068