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Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

: $-198.69 (As of Today)
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As of today (2021-10-23), Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-198.69.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co is N/A.


Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Premium Member Only - - - - -

Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 8%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average free cash flow growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-13.462.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.08) = 0.97222222222222
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.08) = 0.96296296296296

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-13.462*14.7595
=-198.69

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-198.69-139.90)/-198.69
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co  (NYSE:BHVN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co Business Description

Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co logo
Industry
Healthcare » Biotechnology NAICS : 325412 SIC : 2834
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
C/o Biohaven Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 215 Church Street, New Haven, CT, USA, 06510
Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co Ltd is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. It has a portfolio of late-stage product candidates targeting neurological diseases, including rare disorders. The company product candidates are based on multiple mechanisms-calcitonin gene-related peptide receptor antagonists, glutamate modulators and myeloperoxidase inhibitor. Its pipeline products include BHV-3100, BHV5000, BHV5500, among others.
Executives
Bailey Gregory director 4 A CHESHAM STREET LONDON X0 SW1X8DT
Gentile Kimberly officer: SVP, Clinical Operations C/O BIOHAVEN PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDING COMP 234 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Childs John W director 111 HUNTINGTON AVENUE SUITE 2900 BOSTON MA 02199
Berman Robert officer: Special Projects & Med Ovrsght C/O BIOHAVEN PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDING COMP 234 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Doogan Declan director C/O BIOHAVEN PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDING COMP 234 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Stock Elyse officer: Chief Medical Officer 215 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Engelhart James officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O BIOHAVEN PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDING COMP 234 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Tilton John officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O BIOHAVEN PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDING COMP 234 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Hugin Robert J director C/O THE MEDICINES CO 8 CAMPUS DR PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Heffernan Michael Thomas director C/O CORNERSTONE THERAPEUTICS INC. 1255 CRESCENT GREEN DRIVE, SUITE 250 CARY NC 27518
Gregory Julia P director 8800 TECHNOLOGY FOREST PLACE THE WOODLANDS TX 77381
Aguiar Eric director 888 7TH AVENUE 12TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10106
Coric Vlad director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O BIOHAVEN PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDING COMP 234 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510
Jones William A Jr officer: CCO-Migraine & Common Disease NITROMED, INC. 125 SPRING STREET LEXINGTON MA 02421
Conway Charles officer: Chief Scientific Officer C/O BIOHAVEN PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDING COMP 234 CHURCH STREET NEW HAVEN CT 06510

Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Co Headlines

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