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Hanesbrands Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

: $81.97 (As of Today)
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As of today (2021-12-07), Hanesbrands's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $81.97.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Hanesbrands's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Hanesbrands is 78.88%.


Hanesbrands Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hanesbrands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hanesbrands Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 20.69 80.87 -

Hanesbrands Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 93.43 - - - -

Hanesbrands Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 8%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average free cash flow growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => Average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 20% which is NO less than 20% => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $1.946.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Hanesbrands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.08) = 1.1111111111111
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.08) = 0.96296296296296

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=1.946*42.1207
=81.97

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(81.97-17.31)/81.97
=78.88 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hanesbrands  (NYSE:HBI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Hanesbrands Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Hanesbrands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Hanesbrands Business Description

Hanesbrands logo
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1000 East Hanes Mill Road, Winston-Salem, NC, USA, 27105
Hanesbrands manufactures basic and athletic apparel under brands including Hanes, Champion, Playtex, Bali, and Bonds. The company sells wholesale to discount, midmarket, and department store retailers as well as direct to consumers. Hanesbrands is vertically integrated as it produces more than 70% of its products in company-controlled factories in more than three dozen nations. Hanesbrands distributes products in the Americas, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. The company was founded in 1901 and is based in Winston-Salem, North Carolina.
Executives
Upchurch W Howard Jr officer: Group President, IW Americas 1000 EAST HANES MILL ROAD WINSTON SALEM NC 27106
Griffin Bobby J director C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC. 100 FIRST STAMFORD PL STE 700 STAMFORD CT 06902
Oliver Kristin L officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 11215 METRO PARKWAY FORT MYERS FL 33966
Ziegler Ann Elizabeth director ONE EAST WACKER DR CHICAGO IL 60601
Bratspies Stephen B director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1000 E. HANES MILL ROAD WINSTON-SALEM NC 27105
Ram Jonathan officer: Group Pres., Global Activewear 1000 E. HANES MILL ROAD WINSTON-SALEM NC 27105
Bortolussi David L officer: Group Pres, Innerwear Intl 1000 E. HANES MILL ROAD WINSTON-SALEM NC 27105
Lewis Markland Scott officer: CAO and Interim CFO 1000 EAST HANES MILL ROAD LEGAL DEPARTMENT WINSTON-SALEM NC 27105
Faircloth Michael E. officer: Group Pres, Global Ops 1000 EAST HANES MILL ROAD WINSTON-SALEM NC 27105
Breig Geralyn director ONE OLD COUNTRY ROAD SUITE 500 CARLE PLACE NY 11514
Evans Gerald director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1000 EAST HANES MILL ROAD WINSTON-SALEM NC 27105
Singer David V director 13024 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PL SUITE 900 CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Moran Robert F director C/O GNC HOLDINGS, INC. 300 SIXTH AVENUE PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Johnson Joia M officer: Chief Admin Ofcr, GC&Corp Sec C/O HANESBRANDS INC. 1000 EAST HANES MILL ROAD WINSTON SALEM NC 27105
Moison Franck J director C/O COLGATE PALMOLIVE CO 300 PARK AVE 15TH FL NEW YORK NY 10022

Hanesbrands Headlines

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