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Sonic Automotive (Sonic Automotive) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $188.47 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Sonic Automotive Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-28), Sonic Automotive's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $188.47.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Sonic Automotive's Predictability Rank is 2.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Sonic Automotive is 66.94%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sonic Automotive's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SAH' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.12   Med: 0.19   Max: 0.33
Current: 0.33

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Sonic Automotive was 0.33. The lowest was 0.12. And the median was 0.19.

SAH's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked better than
88.1% of 168 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 0.89 vs SAH: 0.33

Sonic Automotive Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sonic Automotive's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sonic Automotive Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Sonic Automotive Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 123.77 - 313.38 294.88 209.66

Sonic Automotive Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 262.52 246.51 217.97 209.66 188.47

Competitive Comparison of Sonic Automotive's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, Sonic Automotive's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sonic Automotive's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Sonic Automotive's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sonic Automotive's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Sonic Automotive Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Sonic Automotive's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 28.80%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $6.0309.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Sonic Automotive's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=6.0309*31.2501
=188.47

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (188.47 - 62.30) / 188.47
= 66.94 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sonic Automotive  (NYSE:SAH) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Sonic Automotive Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Sonic Automotive's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Sonic Automotive (Sonic Automotive) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4401 Colwick Road, Charlotte, NC, USA, 28211
Sonic Automotive is one of the largest auto dealership groups in the United States. The company has 108 franchised stores in 18 states, primarily in metropolitan areas in California, Texas, and the Southeast, plus 18 EchoPark and 7 Northwest Motorsports used-vehicle stores, and 16 collision centers. The company derives revenue from new and used vehicles plus parts and collision repair, finance, insurance, and wholesale auctions. Luxury and import dealerships make up about 83% of franchise new-vehicle revenue, while Honda, BMW, Mercedes, and Toyota constitute about 56% of new-vehicle revenue. BMW is the largest brand at about 26%. 2022's revenue was $14 billion, with EchoPark's portion totaling $2.5 billion. Sonic bought RFJ Auto in December 2021, which added $3.2 billion in sales.
Executives
Heath Byrd officer: EVP and CFO 4401 COLWICK ROAD, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Jeff Dyke officer: EVP of Operations C/O SONIC AUTOMOTIVE, INC., 6415 IDLEWILD ROAD, SUITE 109, CHARLOTTE NC 28212
David Bruton Smith director, officer: Executive Vice President C/O SONIC AUTOMOTIVE, INC., 6415 IDLEWILD ROAD, SUITE 109, CHARLOTTE NC 28212
Paul P. Rusnak 10 percent owner 325 W. COLORADO BLVD.,, PO BOX 70489, PASADENA CA 91117-7489
Michael Edward Hodge director 4401 COLWICK ROAD, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Keri A Kaiser director 14902 PRESTON ROAD, SUITE 404, #384, DALLAS TX 75254
Victor H Doolan director 35 VIA MONARCA, DANA POINT CA 92629
Marcus G Smith 10 percent owner 5555 CONCORD PARKWAY SOUTH, CONCORD NC 28027
Sonic Financial Corp 10 percent owner 5401 E INDEPENDENCE BLVD, CHARLOTTE NC 28212
O Bruton Smith director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO 5401 E INDEPENDENCE BLVD, CHARLOTTE NC 28212
R Eugene Taylor director BANK OF AMERICA CORP, 100 NORTH TRYON ST NC1-007-57-01, CHARLOTTE NC 28255
Bryan Scott Smith director, officer: Vice Chairman and CSO 5401 E INDEPENDENCE BLVD, CHARLOTTE NC 28212
Harris John W. Iii director 4725 PIEDMONT ROW DRIVE, SUITE 800, CHARLOTTE NC 28210
Byrd Bernard Clinton Jr director 4401 COLWICK ROAD, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
William I Belk director 6100 FAIRVIEW RD #640, CHARLOTTE NC 28210