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Automatic Data Processing (Automatic Data Processing) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $89.97 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-18), Automatic Data Processing's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $89.97. The stock price of Automatic Data Processing is $242.015. Therefore, Automatic Data Processing's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Automatic Data Processing's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ADP' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.69   Med: 2.26   Max: 3.54
Current: 2.69

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Automatic Data Processing was 3.54. The lowest was 1.69. And the median was 2.26.

ADP's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
85.24% of 664 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 0.94 vs ADP: 2.69

Automatic Data Processing Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Automatic Data Processing's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Automatic Data Processing Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 70.07 68.86 70.63 72.42 86.84

Automatic Data Processing Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 73.59 82.63 86.84 84.65 89.97

Competitive Comparison

For the Staffing & Employment Services subindustry, Automatic Data Processing's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Automatic Data Processing Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Automatic Data Processing's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Automatic Data Processing's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Automatic Data Processing Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Automatic Data Processing's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $2,614.86.

Automatic Data Processing's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.87061389047*2614.864+4319.6*0.8)/412.500
=89.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Automatic Data Processing  (NAS:ADP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Automatic Data Processing's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=242.015/89.965054351734
=2.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Automatic Data Processing Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Automatic Data Processing's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Automatic Data Processing (Automatic Data Processing) Business Description

Address
One ADP Boulevard, Roseland, NJ, USA, 07068
ADP is a provider of payroll and human capital management solutions servicing the full scope of businesses from micro to global enterprises. ADP was established in 1949 and serves over 1 million clients primarily in the United States. ADP's employer services segment offers payroll, human capital management solutions, human resources outsourcing, insurance and retirement services. The smaller but faster-growing professional employer organization segment provides HR outsourcing solutions to small and midsize businesses through a co-employment model.
Executives
John Ayala officer: Corp. VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD, ROSELAND NJ 07068
Maria Black officer: Corp. VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD, ROSELAND NJ 07068
Brock Albinson officer: Corp. VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD, ROSELAND NJ 07068
David Kwon officer: Corp VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD, ROSELAD NJ 07068
Don Mcguire officer: Corp VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD, ROSELAND NJ 07068
Carlos A Rodriguez officer: Corporate Vice President 10200 SUNSET DRIVE, MIAMI FL 33173
Michael A Bonarti officer: Staff Vice President ONE ADP BOULEVARD, ROSELAND NJ 07068
Christopher D'ambrosio officer: Corp. VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD, ROSELAND NJ 07068
Joseph Desilva officer: Corp VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD, ROSELAND NJ 07068
Paul Boland officer: Corp. VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD, ROSELAND NJ 07068
Donald Weinstein officer: Corporate VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD, ROSELAND NJ 07068
James T Sperduto officer: Corp VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD, ROSELAND NJ 07068
Laura G Brown officer: Corp. VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD, ROSELAND NJ 07068
Augusto J Blanchard officer: Corp VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD, ROSELAND NJ 07068
Alexander Quevedo officer: Corp VP ONE ADP BOULEVARD, ROSELAND NJ 07068