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Biogen (NAS:BIIB) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $323.70 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2023-03-26), Biogen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $323.70. The stock price of Biogen is $270.03. Therefore, Biogen's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Biogen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BIIB' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.18   Med: 1.91   Max: 12.1
Current: 0.84

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Biogen was 12.10. The lowest was 0.18. And the median was 1.91.

BIIB's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
77.1% of 594 companies
in the Drug Manufacturers industry
Industry Median: 1.58 vs BIIB: 0.84

Biogen Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Biogen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Biogen Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 252.98 391.55 441.70 353.19 323.70

Biogen Quarterly Data
Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 353.19 321.88 326.72 331.84 323.70

Competitive Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Biogen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Biogen Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Biogen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Biogen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF's extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.



Biogen Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Biogen's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $3,817.86.

Biogen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*3817.856+13397.9*0.8)/145.400
=323.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Biogen  (NAS:BIIB) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Biogen's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=270.03/323.69774045917
=0.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Biogen Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Biogen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Biogen (NAS:BIIB) Business Description

Biogen logo
Industry
Address
225 Binney Street, Cambridge, MA, USA, 02142
Biogen and Idec merged in 2003, combining forces to market Biogen's multiple sclerosis drug Avonex and Idec's cancer drug Rituxan. Today, Rituxan and next-generation antibody Gazyva are marketed via a collaboration with Roche. Biogen also markets novel MS drugs Plegridy, Tysabri, Tecfidera, and Vumerity. In Japan, Biogen's MS portfolio is co-promoted by Eisai. Hemophilia therapies Eloctate and Alprolix (partnered with SOBI) were spun off as part of Bioverativ in 2017. Biogen has several drug candidates in phase 3 trials in neurology and neurodegenerative diseases and has launched Spinraza with partner Ionis. Aduhelm was approved as the firm's first Alzheimer's disease therapy in June 2021, followed by Leqembi in January 2023.
Executives
Christopher Viehbacher director, officer: President and CEO C/O AXCELLA HEALTH, INC., 840 MEMORIAL DRIVE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Nicole Murphy officer: Head of Pharm Ops and Tech BIOGEN INC., 225 BINNEY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Rachid Izzar officer: Head of Alzheimer's Disease BIOGEN INC., 225 BINNEY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Jones William D /ca/ director
Maria C Freire director C/O ALEXANDRIA REAL ESTATE EQUITIES, INC, 26 NORTH EUCLID AVENUE, PASADENA CA 91101
Michael R Mcdonnell officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer C/O IQVIA HOLDINGS INC., 83 WOOSTER HEIGHTS ROAD, DANBURY CT 06810
Alphonse Galdes officer: EVP Pharmaceutical Oper & Tech BIOGEN INC., 225 BINNEY ST., CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
William A Hawkins director MEDTRONIC INC, 710 MEDTRONIC PKWY, MS LC310, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432-5604
Jesus B Mantas director BIOGEN INC., 225 BINNEY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Robin Kramer officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer 999 VANDERBILT BEACH ROAD, 3RD FLOOR, NAPLES FL 34109
Daniel Karp officer: EVP, Corporate Development 225 BINNEY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Jeffrey D Capello officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer C/O NEOGEN CORP., 620 LESHER PLACE, LANSING MI 48912
Chirfi Guindo officer: EVP Glob. Mkt Acc & Cust Innov C/O BIOGEN INC., 225 BINNEY ST., CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Ginger Gregory officer: EVP, Human Resources C/O BIOGEN INC., 225 BINNEY ST., CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Jean-paul Kress officer: EVP Pres Int'l & Global Hd GTO 215 FIRST STREET, SUITE 415, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142

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