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Group 1 Automotive (Group 1 Automotive) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $577.98 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Group 1 Automotive Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-28), Group 1 Automotive's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $577.98. The stock price of Group 1 Automotive is $300.35. Therefore, Group 1 Automotive's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Group 1 Automotive's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GPI' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.33   Med: 0.75   Max: 16.24
Current: 0.52

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Group 1 Automotive was 16.24. The lowest was 0.33. And the median was 0.75.

GPI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
78.58% of 887 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.08 vs GPI: 0.52

Group 1 Automotive Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Group 1 Automotive's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Group 1 Automotive Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Group 1 Automotive Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 118.49 198.28 383.03 547.61 577.98

Group 1 Automotive Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 587.90 605.59 638.94 577.98 -

Competitive Comparison of Group 1 Automotive's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, Group 1 Automotive's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Group 1 Automotive's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Group 1 Automotive's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Group 1 Automotive's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Group 1 Automotive Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Group 1 Automotive's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $409.84.

Group 1 Automotive's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*409.84+2772.4*0.8)/13.508
=615.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Group 1 Automotive  (NYSE:GPI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Group 1 Automotive's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=300.35/615.13398228942
=0.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Group 1 Automotive Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Group 1 Automotive (Group 1 Automotive) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
800 Gessner, Suite 500, Houston, TX, USA, 77024
Group 1 owns and operates 41 collision centers and 201 automotive dealerships in the U.S. and the U.K., offering 35 brands of automobiles altogether. About 150 of the stores are in the U.S. with locations mostly in metropolitan areas in 17 states in the Northeast, Southeast, Midwest, and California. Texas alone contributed 37% of new-vehicle unit volume in 2022 and the U.K. about 19%. Texas, Oklahoma, and Massachusetts combined were about 53%. Revenue in 2022 totaled $16.2 billion. The company was founded in 1995 and is based in Houston.
Executives
Daniel James Mchenry officer: Chief Financial Officer 800 GESSNER SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77024
Carin Marcy Barth director
Daryl Kenningham officer: Regional VP, East Region 800 GESSNER, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77024
Michael David Jones officer: Sr. Vice President 800 GESSNER SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77024
Peter C Delongchamps officer: VP, Manufacturer Relations 800 GESSNER, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77024
Darryl M Burman officer: Sr. VP & General Counsel 800 GESSNER, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77024
Edward Mckissic officer: Senior VP, Human Resources 800 GESSNER SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77024
Lincoln Pereira director 800 GESSNER, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77024
Gillian A. Hobson officer: SVP, Chief Legal Officer & Sec 800 GESSNER RD STE 500, HOUSTON TX 77024
Earl J Hesterberg director, officer: President & CEO GROUP 1 AUTOMOTIVE, INC., 800 GESSNER, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77024
Frank Grese officer: Regional VP, West Region 800 GESSNER, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77024
Max P Watson director 800 GESSNER, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77024
Steven Mizell director 2000 GALLOPING HILL ROAD, KENILWORTH NJ 07033
Steven P Stanbrook director 1525 HOWE ST, RACINE WI 53403
John C Rickel officer: SVP & CFO 4080 JENKINS ROAD, CHATTANOOGA TN 37421