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Grupo AeromexicoB de CV (MEX:AEROMEX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : MXN-56.16 (As of Jul. 21, 2025)


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What is Grupo AeromexicoB de CV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-07-21), Grupo AeromexicoB de CV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN-56.16. The stock price of Grupo AeromexicoB de CV is MXN167.00. Therefore, Grupo AeromexicoB de CV's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Grupo AeromexicoB de CV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Grupo AeromexicoB de CV was 2.22. The lowest was 0.44. And the median was 1.08.

MEX:AEROMEX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Transportation industry.
Industry Median: 0.84
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Grupo AeromexicoB de CV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Grupo AeromexicoB de CV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Grupo AeromexicoB de CV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Grupo AeromexicoB de CV Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -48.49 -100.82 -369.53 -50.68 -56.16

Grupo AeromexicoB de CV Quarterly Data
Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -255.36 -411.27 -369.53 -50.68 -56.16

Competitive Comparison of Grupo AeromexicoB de CV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Airlines subindustry, Grupo AeromexicoB de CV's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Grupo AeromexicoB de CV's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Grupo AeromexicoB de CV's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Grupo AeromexicoB de CV's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


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Grupo AeromexicoB de CV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Grupo AeromexicoB de CV's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = MXN-1,535.21.

Grupo AeromexicoB de CV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec24)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-1535.20624+-18811.091/0.8)/682.120
=-55.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Grupo AeromexicoB de CV  (MEX:AEROMEX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Grupo AeromexicoB de CV's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=167.00/-55.898620370491
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Grupo AeromexicoB de CV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Grupo AeromexicoB de CV Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Paseo de la Reforma 445, Col. Cuauhtemoc, Mexico City, MEX, 06500
Grupo Aeromexico SAB de CV is a leader in Mexican air transportation. Revenue is generated by transporting passengers and air cargo and providing additional amenities to improve travel experiences. The company has one reportable segment, air transportation, and reports revenues by geographic region. Mexico accounts for approximately half of total revenue, with North, Central, and South America comprising another material portion. Grupo Aeromexico is a member of a global alliance with other carriers to better assist customers and increase the number of destinations. Additionally, the company utilizes a joint Aeromexico-Delta maintenance and repair facility to maintain and enhance existing fleet.

Grupo AeromexicoB de CV Headlines

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