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Moelis (Moelis) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $42.31 (As of May. 06, 2024)


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What is Moelis Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-06), Moelis's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $42.31. The stock price of Moelis is $52.39. Therefore, Moelis's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Moelis's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.63   Med: 0.89   Max: 1.55
Current: 1.24

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Moelis was 1.55. The lowest was 0.63. And the median was 0.89.

MC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
54.58% of 524 companies
in the Capital Markets industry
Industry Median: 1.11 vs MC: 1.24

Moelis Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Moelis's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Moelis Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Moelis Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 46.88 44.69 58.35 54.30 51.64

Moelis Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 47.17 51.03 51.43 51.64 42.31

Competitive Comparison of Moelis's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Moelis's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Moelis's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Moelis's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Moelis's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Moelis Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Moelis's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $303.10.

Moelis's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*303.09904+364.478*0.8)/75.102
=42.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Moelis  (NYSE:MC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Moelis's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=52.39/42.305022891526
=1.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Moelis Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Moelis's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Moelis (Moelis) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
399 Park Avenue, 4th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10022
Moelis & Co is an independent investment bank that provides strategic and financial advice to a diverse client base, including corporations, financial sponsors, governments, and sovereign wealth funds. The company assists its clients in achieving their strategic goals by offering comprehensive, globally integrated financial advisory services across all industry sectors. It also advises clients on their critical decisions, including mergers and acquisitions, recapitalizations and restructurings, capital markets transactions, and other corporate finance matters. it generates revenue from advisory transactions. The firm derives a majority of its revenue from the United States followed by Europe and the rest of the World.
Executives
Kenneth Moelis director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO C/O MOELIS & COMPANY, 399 PARK AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Ciafone Katherine Pilcher officer: Chief Operating Officer 399 PARK AVE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Kenneth Shropshire director C/O MOELIS & COMPANY, 399 PARK AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011
Elizabeth Crain officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O MOELIS & COMPANY, 399 PARK AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Navid Mahmoodzadegan director, officer: Managing Director C/O MOELIS & COMPANY, 399 PARK AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Osamu R. Watanabe officer: General Counsel and Secretary C/O MOELIS & COMPANY, 399 PARK AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Jeffrey Raich director, officer: Managing Director C/O MOELIS & COMPANY, 399 PARK AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Christopher Callesano officer: SVP & Principal Acct Officer C/O MOELIS & COMPANY, 399 PARK AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Laila Worrell director 399 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Joseph Simon officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O MOELIS & COMPANY, 399 PARK AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Yolonda C Richardson director 399 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Leaman J Richard Iii director, officer: Managing Partner C/O MOELIS & COMPANY, 399 PARK AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
John A Allison director PO BOX 1250, WINSTON SALEM NC 27102-1250
Yvonne Greenstreet director PACIRA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 5 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Eric Cantor director C/O MOELIS & COMPANY, 399 PARK AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022