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The Shyft Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $9.60 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2022-08-09), The Shyft Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $9.60. The stock price of The Shyft Group is $25.83. Therefore, The Shyft Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Shyft Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SHYF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.41   Med: 1.76   Max: 561
Current: 2.72

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of The Shyft Group was 561.00. The lowest was 0.41. And the median was 1.76.

SHYF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
81.02% of 137 companies
in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry
Industry Median: 1.09 vs SHYF: 2.72

The Shyft Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Shyft Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Shyft Group Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.71 6.11 7.01 8.88 12.76

The Shyft Group Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.77 11.26 12.76 10.27 9.60

Competitive Comparison

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, The Shyft Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

The Shyft Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, The Shyft Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Shyft Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



The Shyft Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get The Shyft Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $15.95.

The Shyft Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*15.9528+232.935*0.8)/35.243
=9.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Shyft Group  (NAS:SHYF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

The Shyft Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=25.83/9.5969203796529
=2.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Shyft Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Shyft Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Shyft Group Business Description

The Shyft Group logo
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
41280 Bridge Street, Novi, MI, USA, 48375
The Shyft Group Inc is a North American specialty vehicle manufacturer, engaged in assembling and upfitting for the commercial, retail, and service specialty vehicle markets. Its customers include first-to-last mile delivery companies across vocations, federal, state, and local government entities; the trades; and utility and infrastructure segments. The Group is organized into two core business units Fleet Vehicles and Services and Specialty Vehicles. Its brands include Utilimaster, Royal Truck Body, Strobes-R- Us, Spartan RV Chassis, Builtmore Contract Manufacturing, and corresponding aftermarket provisions. It operates facilities in Michigan, Indiana, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Florida, Missouri, California, Arizona, Texas, and Saltillo, Mexico.
Executives
Esposito Carl A. director 21557 TELEGRAPH ROAD SOUTHFIELD MI 48033
Sherbin Joshua A officer: Chief Legal Officer 38505 WOODWARD AVENUE SUITE 200 BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48304
Rourke Mark B. director 3101 PACKERLAND DRIVE GREEN BAY WI 54313
Pizzuto Terri director 3050 HIGHLAND PARKWAY STE 100 DOWNERS GROVA IL 60515
Dinkins Michael director 6166 NW 85TH WAY PARKLAND FL 33067
Douyard Jonathan C officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O SPARTAN MOTORS, INC. 41280 BRIDGE STREET NOVI MI 48375
Freeman Angela K. director 14701 CHARLSON ROAD EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55437
Heavin Todd A officer: Chief Operating Officer 1950 OAK POINTE DR ROCHESTER HILLS MI 48306
Heminover Chad M officer: President, Fleet Vehicles and C/O SPARTAN MOTORS, INC. 1541 REYNOLDS ROAD CHARLOTTE MI 48813
Isbell Jeri L director ONE LEXMARK CENTRE DR 740 WEST NEW CIRCLE RD LEXINGTON KY 40550
Roney Ryan L officer: Chief Legal Officer & Secretar 1541 REYNOLDS ROAD CHARLOTTE MI 48813
Long Matthew W officer: Interim CFO 2581 E KERCHER ROAD GOSHEN IN 46528
Mascarenas Paul Anthony director 3850 HAMLIN ROAD AUBURN HILLS MI 48326
Ninneman Thomas C officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O SPARTAN MOTORS, INC. 1541 REYNOLDS ROAD CHARLOTTE MI 48813
Clevinger Thomas R director C/O SPARTAN MOTORS, INC. 1541 REYNOLDS ROAD CHARLOTTE MI 48813

The Shyft Group Headlines

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